Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, anchoring the official daily maximum at the Jiangbei International Airport station near 23 °C and driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome above 99 %. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where moisture typically caps peaks below seasonal averages of 24–26 °C. Traders will monitor final model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could allow a one-degree deviation, though current guidance leaves little realistic scope for change before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on May 17?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,285 ปริมาณ
$46,285 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$46,285 ปริมาณ
$46,285 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
18°C or below
$2,479 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,659 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,059 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$3,184 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$4,197 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$9,187 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$5,440 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$4,309 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$3,639 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$3,948 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$6,185 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, anchoring the official daily maximum at the Jiangbei International Airport station near 23 °C and driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome above 99 %. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where moisture typically caps peaks below seasonal averages of 24–26 °C. Traders will monitor final model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could allow a one-degree deviation, though current guidance leaves little realistic scope for change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,285วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, anchoring the official daily maximum at the Jiangbei International Airport station near 23 °C and driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome above 99 %. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where moisture typically caps peaks below seasonal averages of 24–26 °C. Traders will monitor final model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could allow a one-degree deviation, though current guidance leaves little realistic scope for change before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$46,285วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKRecent meteorological guidance from the China Meteorological Administration indicates persistent low-level cloud cover and light drizzle over Chongqing on May 17, which suppresses solar heating and limits boundary-layer mixing under southerly flow. Ensemble forecasts show minimal spread, anchoring the official daily maximum at the Jiangbei International Airport station near 23 °C and driving the market-implied probability for that exact outcome above 99 %. This aligns with mid-May climatology in the Sichuan Basin, where moisture typically caps peaks below seasonal averages of 24–26 °C. Traders will monitor final model updates for any shifts in precipitation timing or wind strength that could allow a one-degree deviation, though current guidance leaves little realistic scope for change before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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