The latest National Weather Service forecast, projecting a Monday high near 91°F in Dallas amid mostly cloudy skies and a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms, drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 88–91°F range. Southerly winds and moderate moisture from the Gulf support temperatures several degrees above the late-May climatological average of 85°F, yet scattered convection could cap the peak or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread in afternoon mixing and cloud cover, creating the narrow probability gaps between the leading 88–89°F and 90–91°F outcomes while keeping the chance of 92°F or above limited to single digits. Updated model runs and any new observations on May 18 will refine these thresholds ahead of official resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Dallas on May 18?
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 26%
92°F or higher 10%
$11,341 ปริมาณ
$11,341 ปริมาณ
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
31%
92°F or higher
10%
88-89°F 36%
90-91°F 31%
86-87°F 26%
92°F or higher 10%
$11,341 ปริมาณ
$11,341 ปริมาณ
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
26%
88-89°F
36%
90-91°F
31%
92°F or higher
10%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALThe latest National Weather Service forecast, projecting a Monday high near 91°F in Dallas amid mostly cloudy skies and a slight chance of afternoon thunderstorms, drives the tight clustering of market-implied odds around the 88–91°F range. Southerly winds and moderate moisture from the Gulf support temperatures several degrees above the late-May climatological average of 85°F, yet scattered convection could cap the peak or allow brief clearing that pushes readings higher. Ensemble guidance from the GFS and ECMWF shows modest spread in afternoon mixing and cloud cover, creating the narrow probability gaps between the leading 88–89°F and 90–91°F outcomes while keeping the chance of 92°F or above limited to single digits. Updated model runs and any new observations on May 18 will refine these thresholds ahead of official resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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