Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Hong Kong on April 24?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on April 24?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$887,205 ปริมาณ
$887,205 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$887,205 ปริมาณ
$887,205 ปริมาณ
Apr 24, 2026
18°C or below
$22,675 ปริมาณ
No
19°C
$22,659 ปริมาณ
No
20°C
$42,591 ปริมาณ
No
21°C
$110,182 ปริมาณ
No
22°C
$240,322 ปริมาณ
No
23°C
$153,583 ปริมาณ
Yes
24°C
$67,434 ปริมาณ
No
25°C
$50,968 ปริมาณ
No
26°C
$52,905 ปริมาณ
No
27°C
$63,694 ปริมาณ
No
28°C or higher
$60,191 ปริมาณ
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$887,205วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$887,205วันสิ้นสุด
Apr 24, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 22, 2026, 12:23 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...เสนอผลลัพธ์แล้ว: No
ไม่มีการคัดค้าน
ผลลัพธ์สุดท้าย: No
Hong Kong Observatory (HKO) observations confirm the highest air temperature reached exactly 23°C at the Observatory headquarters on April 24, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome amid a northeast monsoon suppressing daytime heating. Cloudy skies, showers, and light winds limited solar insolation and convective warming, aligning with HKO's pre-event forecasts projecting peaks near 23°C under stable, cool air advection—below April's climatological mean maximum of about 27°C. Model consensus from HKO's guidance accurately captured these dynamics, with no significant deviations in real-time data. Scenarios challenging this near-certainty would require rare data revisions from instrument recalibration or overlooked regional maxima exceeding Observatory readings, though final HKO bulletins lock resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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