Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, which underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Official observations and model runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher, while historical May averages for the region sit near 16–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of late-day revisions from additional solar heating or frontal shifts, though an unexpected reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could still nudge the verified high slightly above or below the 18°C threshold before official confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in London on May 17?
Highest temperature in London on May 17?
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,661 ปริมาณ
$171,661 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
100%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
18°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$171,661 ปริมาณ
$171,661 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
10°C or below
$997 ปริมาณ
<1%
11°C
$1,915 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$8,287 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$12,717 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$13,451 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$24,210 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$26,911 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$36,054 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$20,639 ปริมาณ
100%
19°C
$19,980 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$6,601 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, which underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Official observations and model runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher, while historical May averages for the region sit near 16–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of late-day revisions from additional solar heating or frontal shifts, though an unexpected reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could still nudge the verified high slightly above or below the 18°C threshold before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$171,661วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, which underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Official observations and model runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher, while historical May averages for the region sit near 16–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of late-day revisions from additional solar heating or frontal shifts, though an unexpected reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could still nudge the verified high slightly above or below the 18°C threshold before official confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the London City Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$171,661วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCRecent Met Office and ECMWF ensemble forecasts have converged on a daytime maximum of 18°C for London on May 17 under partly cloudy skies and moderate westerly flow, which underpins the market’s overwhelming consensus for that exact outcome. Official observations and model runs indicate stable atmospheric conditions without significant warm advection or clear-sky amplification that could push temperatures higher, while historical May averages for the region sit near 16–17°C. Traders appear to weigh the low likelihood of late-day revisions from additional solar heating or frontal shifts, though an unexpected reduction in cloud cover or stronger southerly winds could still nudge the verified high slightly above or below the 18°C threshold before official confirmation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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