Recent India Meteorological Department and global model consensus points to a 31–33°C maximum in Lucknow on September 14, with scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. Persistent monsoon moisture and easterly flow are keeping humidity high while limiting insolation, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C. Slight variations in rainfall timing and coverage across ensemble runs could shift the daily high by 1–2°C, creating the close spread between 30°C and 33°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 33°C provide a baseline, but ongoing wet conditions have already suppressed recent maxima below seasonal norms. Updated model guidance on precipitation intensity and timing over the next 48 hours will be the key variable influencing final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on September 14?
32°C 40%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
29°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
2%
28°C
3%
29°C
15%
30°C
10%
31°C
29%
32°C
40%
33°C
21%
34°C
9%
35°C or higher
9%
32°C 40%
31°C 29%
33°C 21%
29°C 15%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 14, 2026
25°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
3%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
15%
30°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
31°C
$7 ปริมาณ
29%
32°C
$11 ปริมาณ
40%
33°C
$30 ปริมาณ
21%
34°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
35°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department and global model consensus points to a 31–33°C maximum in Lucknow on September 14, with scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. Persistent monsoon moisture and easterly flow are keeping humidity high while limiting insolation, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C. Slight variations in rainfall timing and coverage across ensemble runs could shift the daily high by 1–2°C, creating the close spread between 30°C and 33°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 33°C provide a baseline, but ongoing wet conditions have already suppressed recent maxima below seasonal norms. Updated model guidance on precipitation intensity and timing over the next 48 hours will be the key variable influencing final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent India Meteorological Department and global model consensus points to a 31–33°C maximum in Lucknow on September 14, with scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. Persistent monsoon moisture and easterly flow are keeping humidity high while limiting insolation, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C. Slight variations in rainfall timing and coverage across ensemble runs could shift the daily high by 1–2°C, creating the close spread between 30°C and 33°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 33°C provide a baseline, but ongoing wet conditions have already suppressed recent maxima below seasonal norms. Updated model guidance on precipitation intensity and timing over the next 48 hours will be the key variable influencing final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$48วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 12, 2026, 12:56 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent India Meteorological Department and global model consensus points to a 31–33°C maximum in Lucknow on September 14, with scattered thundershowers and increased cloud cover expected to moderate peak heating. Persistent monsoon moisture and easterly flow are keeping humidity high while limiting insolation, which explains why traders assign the highest implied probability to 31°C. Slight variations in rainfall timing and coverage across ensemble runs could shift the daily high by 1–2°C, creating the close spread between 30°C and 33°C outcomes. Historical September averages near 33°C provide a baseline, but ongoing wet conditions have already suppressed recent maxima below seasonal norms. Updated model guidance on precipitation intensity and timing over the next 48 hours will be the key variable influencing final resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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