Forecast models and India Meteorological Department guidance indicate a daytime high near 34°C in Lucknow on September 9, driven by the retreating monsoon trough supplying high humidity and cloud cover that limits solar heating while scattered thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 34°C, though elevated moisture from Bay of Bengal flow and light winds have kept recent readings in the 32–34°C range rather than allowing stronger insolation. Trader consensus reflects these conditions, with implied probabilities favoring 34°C over higher outcomes that would require clearer skies or delayed convection. Official IMD station observations, including Lucknow-Amausi maximum temperature reports issued throughout the day, will determine final resolution as new model updates refine rain timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Lucknow on September 9?
34°C 75%
35°C 24%
36°C 3.0%
37°C or higher <1%
$16,957 ปริมาณ
$16,957 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
75%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
34°C 75%
35°C 24%
36°C 3.0%
37°C or higher <1%
$16,957 ปริมาณ
$16,957 ปริมาณ
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
75%
35°C
24%
36°C
3%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and India Meteorological Department guidance indicate a daytime high near 34°C in Lucknow on September 9, driven by the retreating monsoon trough supplying high humidity and cloud cover that limits solar heating while scattered thunderstorms develop in the afternoon. This aligns with September climatology showing average highs of 34°C, though elevated moisture from Bay of Bengal flow and light winds have kept recent readings in the 32–34°C range rather than allowing stronger insolation. Trader consensus reflects these conditions, with implied probabilities favoring 34°C over higher outcomes that would require clearer skies or delayed convection. Official IMD station observations, including Lucknow-Amausi maximum temperature reports issued throughout the day, will determine final resolution as new model updates refine rain timing.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว

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