Recent European model guidance, including ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the expected maximum temperature in Milan on May 18 around 20–21°C under a stable high-pressure system with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with the May climatological average high of approximately 22°C while reflecting typical spring variability in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. The tight spread between leading market outcomes stems from small uncertainties in these factors, as modest shifts in solar insolation or local advection could tip readings by 1–2°C. Official observations from Malpensa station tomorrow will resolve the market, with updated model outputs likely to refine the narrow range of plausible maxima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Milan on May 18?
20°C 35%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
22°C 6%
$12,229 ปริมาณ
$12,229 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
19%
20°C
35%
21°C
32%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
20°C 35%
21°C 32%
19°C 19%
22°C 6%
$12,229 ปริมาณ
$12,229 ปริมาณ
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
3%
19°C
19%
20°C
35%
21°C
32%
22°C
6%
23°C
3%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCRecent European model guidance, including ECMWF ensemble runs, centers the expected maximum temperature in Milan on May 18 around 20–21°C under a stable high-pressure system with light winds and limited cloud cover. This consensus aligns closely with the May climatological average high of approximately 22°C while reflecting typical spring variability in daytime heating and boundary-layer moisture. The tight spread between leading market outcomes stems from small uncertainties in these factors, as modest shifts in solar insolation or local advection could tip readings by 1–2°C. Official observations from Malpensa station tomorrow will resolve the market, with updated model outputs likely to refine the narrow range of plausible maxima.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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