Recent National Weather Service forecasts position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near or slightly above the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the market leader with 76% implied probability. This reflects typical late-spring warming driven by onshore flow and solar heating, consistent with historical May averages of 67–70°F at the station. Real-time observations and model consensus show limited cooling from marine layer influence today, though minor adjustments in afternoon wind patterns could still shift the final high. The market’s narrow spreads on lower brackets underscore trader focus on the official KSFO reading that will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on May 17?
68°F or higher 72%
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 4.2%
49°F or below <1%
$22,082 ปริมาณ
$22,082 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
<1%
50-51°F
<1%
52-53°F
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
4%
66-67°F
24%
68°F or higher
68%
68°F or higher 72%
66-67°F 27%
64-65°F 4.2%
49°F or below <1%
$22,082 ปริมาณ
$22,082 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
49°F or below
$894 ปริมาณ
<1%
50-51°F
$1,552 ปริมาณ
<1%
52-53°F
$555 ปริมาณ
<1%
54-55°F
$608 ปริมาณ
<1%
56-57°F
$3,452 ปริมาณ
<1%
58-59°F
$2,032 ปริมาณ
<1%
60-61°F
$1,112 ปริมาณ
<1%
62-63°F
$2,817 ปริมาณ
<1%
64-65°F
$4,198 ปริมาณ
4%
66-67°F
$2,535 ปริมาณ
24%
68°F or higher
$2,400 ปริมาณ
68%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near or slightly above the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the market leader with 76% implied probability. This reflects typical late-spring warming driven by onshore flow and solar heating, consistent with historical May averages of 67–70°F at the station. Real-time observations and model consensus show limited cooling from marine layer influence today, though minor adjustments in afternoon wind patterns could still shift the final high. The market’s narrow spreads on lower brackets underscore trader focus on the official KSFO reading that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,082วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent National Weather Service forecasts position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near or slightly above the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the market leader with 76% implied probability. This reflects typical late-spring warming driven by onshore flow and solar heating, consistent with historical May averages of 67–70°F at the station. Real-time observations and model consensus show limited cooling from marine layer influence today, though minor adjustments in afternoon wind patterns could still shift the final high. The market’s narrow spreads on lower brackets underscore trader focus on the official KSFO reading that will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the San Francisco International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$22,082วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFORecent National Weather Service forecasts position San Francisco’s May 17 daytime maximum near or slightly above the 68°F climatological normal at San Francisco International Airport, establishing the 68°F-or-higher outcome as the market leader with 76% implied probability. This reflects typical late-spring warming driven by onshore flow and solar heating, consistent with historical May averages of 67–70°F at the station. Real-time observations and model consensus show limited cooling from marine layer influence today, though minor adjustments in afternoon wind patterns could still shift the final high. The market’s narrow spreads on lower brackets underscore trader focus on the official KSFO reading that will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย