Trader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
22°C 99.4%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$60,063 ปริมาณ
$60,063 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
22°C 99.4%
23°C or higher <1%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$60,063 ปริมาณ
$60,063 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
99%
23°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRTrader consensus overwhelmingly positions 22°C as the highest temperature recorded in São Paulo today, driven by mid-autumn atmospheric subsidence, light easterly winds, and moderate cloud cover that limit solar heating under current conditions tracked by Brazil’s National Institute of Meteorology. Seasonal norms for May show average daily maxima near 22–23°C, with official station data and short-range model runs aligning closely on this threshold without indications of anomalous warming or cooling. Traders view the slim odds on 23°C or higher as reflecting realistic but low-probability scenarios such as brief clear-sky intervals boosting insolation or minor measurement revisions at urban stations. Fresh observational updates from the network later today could confirm or shift the final recorded peak before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย