Current meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 17?
22°C 77.0%
23°C or higher 26%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,530 ปริมาณ
$51,530 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
77%
23°C or higher
26%
22°C 77.0%
23°C or higher 26%
13°C or below <1%
14°C <1%
$51,530 ปริมาณ
$51,530 ปริมาณ
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
77%
23°C or higher
26%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRThe resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRCurrent meteorological models and observational data position a maximum of 22°C as the most probable outcome for São Paulo on May 17, reflecting typical late-autumn conditions with daytime highs averaging 22–23°C. Stable high-pressure systems and moderate humidity levels have limited convective activity, keeping temperatures from exceeding seasonal norms or dropping sharply overnight. Recent model consensus from global ensembles shows minimal day-to-day variability, with wind patterns favoring gradual warming rather than rapid shifts. Traders’ heavy weighting toward 22°C captures this steady baseline, while the modest probability for 23°C or higher accounts for any localized urban heat effects or slight forecast adjustments before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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