Recent weather model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles have converged on a maximum of 25 °C at the official Incheon International Airport station, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology in Seoul typically features highs near 24–26 °C under weak high-pressure influence, and current surface observations show clear skies, light westerly flow, and a 500 hPa ridge supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or precipitation. Minor model spread remains in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, yet none currently shift the daily peak outside the 25 °C bin. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a late-day sea-breeze front could still trim the high by 1–2 °C before official close-of-day measurement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 17?
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,798 ปริมาณ
$226,798 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C or higher
<1%
25°C 100.0%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$226,798 ปริมาณ
$226,798 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
16°C or below
$7,774 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$6,507 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$9,963 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$10,868 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$15,133 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$22,532 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$28,364 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$28,273 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$23,626 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$26,185 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C or higher
$47,734 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles have converged on a maximum of 25 °C at the official Incheon International Airport station, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology in Seoul typically features highs near 24–26 °C under weak high-pressure influence, and current surface observations show clear skies, light westerly flow, and a 500 hPa ridge supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or precipitation. Minor model spread remains in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, yet none currently shift the daily peak outside the 25 °C bin. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a late-day sea-breeze front could still trim the high by 1–2 °C before official close-of-day measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$226,798วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weather model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles have converged on a maximum of 25 °C at the official Incheon International Airport station, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology in Seoul typically features highs near 24–26 °C under weak high-pressure influence, and current surface observations show clear skies, light westerly flow, and a 500 hPa ridge supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or precipitation. Minor model spread remains in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, yet none currently shift the daily peak outside the 25 °C bin. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a late-day sea-breeze front could still trim the high by 1–2 °C before official close-of-day measurement.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$226,798วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent weather model runs from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles have converged on a maximum of 25 °C at the official Incheon International Airport station, producing the market’s near-certain 100 % implied probability for that exact outcome. Mid-May climatology in Seoul typically features highs near 24–26 °C under weak high-pressure influence, and current surface observations show clear skies, light westerly flow, and a 500 hPa ridge supporting modest daytime heating without strong advection or precipitation. Minor model spread remains in boundary-layer mixing and urban heat-island effects, yet none currently shift the daily peak outside the 25 °C bin. An unexpected increase in low-level moisture or a late-day sea-breeze front could still trim the high by 1–2 °C before official close-of-day measurement.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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