Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures, as the key driver pushing market-implied odds for a Seoul high of 25 °C or above to 79.5 %. Ensemble guidance from global models shows afternoon maxima likely settling in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by these persistent synoptic patterns. With resolution tomorrow, traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering flow that could cap the peak just below the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 18?
25°C or higher 79%
24°C 17%
23°C 5%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
$70,946 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$70,946 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
5%
24°C
17%
25°C or higher
79%
25°C or higher 79%
24°C 17%
23°C 5%
18°C <1%
ใหม่
$70,946 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$70,946 ปริมาณ
May 18, 2026
15°C or below
$12,409 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$5,911 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$5,706 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$3,778 ปริมาณ
1%
19°C
$4,450 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$3,425 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$8,553 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$7,061 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$6,282 ปริมาณ
5%
24°C
$3,531 ปริมาณ
17%
25°C or higher
$10,163 ปริมาณ
79%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures, as the key driver pushing market-implied odds for a Seoul high of 25 °C or above to 79.5 %. Ensemble guidance from global models shows afternoon maxima likely settling in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by these persistent synoptic patterns. With resolution tomorrow, traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering flow that could cap the peak just below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,946วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures, as the key driver pushing market-implied odds for a Seoul high of 25 °C or above to 79.5 %. Ensemble guidance from global models shows afternoon maxima likely settling in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by these persistent synoptic patterns. With resolution tomorrow, traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering flow that could cap the peak just below the threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$70,946วันสิ้นสุด
May 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 16, 2026, 12:03 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIRecent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration highlight a southerly flow of warmer, moist air across the Korean Peninsula, reinforced by above-average Yellow Sea sea-surface temperatures, as the key driver pushing market-implied odds for a Seoul high of 25 °C or above to 79.5 %. Ensemble guidance from global models shows afternoon maxima likely settling in the mid-to-upper 20s Celsius under partly cloudy skies, consistent with mid-May climatology yet elevated by these persistent synoptic patterns. With resolution tomorrow, traders are monitoring the final model runs and any last-minute shifts in steering flow that could cap the peak just below the threshold.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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