Latest numerical weather model consensus, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, supports a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical midsummer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze. This aligns with the market's dominant 72.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary 25.5% for 34°C, reflecting historical August coastal averages of 30–31°C plus modest warming from recent seasonal anomalies without an intense heatwave signature. Official Israeli Meteorological Service outlooks and ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 32°C given stable high-pressure influence and no significant frontal systems, keeping trader focus on fine-scale temperature verification thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 15?
33°C 73%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
ใหม่
$14,404 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,404 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
5%
33°C
73%
34°C
24%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
33°C 73%
34°C 24%
32°C 5%
35°C <1%
ใหม่
$14,404 ปริมาณ
ใหม่
$14,404 ปริมาณ
Aug 15, 2026
30°C or below
$488 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$1,211 ปริมาณ
1%
32°C
$2,104 ปริมาณ
5%
33°C
$3,500 ปริมาณ
73%
34°C
$1,885 ปริมาณ
24%
35°C
$1,000 ปริมาณ
1%
36°C
$1,163 ปริมาณ
<1%
37°C
$1,167 ปริมาณ
<1%
38°C
$945 ปริมาณ
<1%
39°C
$288 ปริมาณ
<1%
40°C or higher
$654 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model consensus, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, supports a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical midsummer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze. This aligns with the market's dominant 72.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary 25.5% for 34°C, reflecting historical August coastal averages of 30–31°C plus modest warming from recent seasonal anomalies without an intense heatwave signature. Official Israeli Meteorological Service outlooks and ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 32°C given stable high-pressure influence and no significant frontal systems, keeping trader focus on fine-scale temperature verification thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,404วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather model consensus, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, supports a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical midsummer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze. This aligns with the market's dominant 72.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary 25.5% for 34°C, reflecting historical August coastal averages of 30–31°C plus modest warming from recent seasonal anomalies without an intense heatwave signature. Official Israeli Meteorological Service outlooks and ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 32°C given stable high-pressure influence and no significant frontal systems, keeping trader focus on fine-scale temperature verification thresholds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$14,404วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 13, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather model consensus, including runs from the GFS and ECMWF, supports a daytime maximum near 33°C in Tel Aviv on August 15 under typical midsummer conditions with clear to partly cloudy skies and a moderating Mediterranean sea breeze. This aligns with the market's dominant 72.5% implied probability for 33°C and secondary 25.5% for 34°C, reflecting historical August coastal averages of 30–31°C plus modest warming from recent seasonal anomalies without an intense heatwave signature. Official Israeli Meteorological Service outlooks and ensemble spreads show limited upside risk above 34°C or downside below 32°C given stable high-pressure influence and no significant frontal systems, keeping trader focus on fine-scale temperature verification thresholds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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