Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a maximum temperature of 28°C for Tokyo on May 17 at the official Otemachi station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and intense afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This short-range numerical weather prediction consensus, with minimal model spread in the final 24 hours, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability for exactly 28°C. Historical mid-May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows similar conditions often produce peaks within 1°C of guidance, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late shift in steering flow could still nudge the recorded high slightly lower before official verification closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 ปริมาณ
$88,867 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
100%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
28°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$88,867 ปริมาณ
$88,867 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$3,024 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,893 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$819 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$5,290 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$8,445 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$7,219 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$10,417 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$10,583 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$19,728 ปริมาณ
100%
29°C
$11,061 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$10,387 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a maximum temperature of 28°C for Tokyo on May 17 at the official Otemachi station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and intense afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This short-range numerical weather prediction consensus, with minimal model spread in the final 24 hours, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability for exactly 28°C. Historical mid-May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows similar conditions often produce peaks within 1°C of guidance, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late shift in steering flow could still nudge the recorded high slightly lower before official verification closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,867วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a maximum temperature of 28°C for Tokyo on May 17 at the official Otemachi station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and intense afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This short-range numerical weather prediction consensus, with minimal model spread in the final 24 hours, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability for exactly 28°C. Historical mid-May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows similar conditions often produce peaks within 1°C of guidance, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late shift in steering flow could still nudge the recorded high slightly lower before official verification closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$88,867วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts have converged on a maximum temperature of 28°C for Tokyo on May 17 at the official Otemachi station, supported by a stable high-pressure ridge driving southerly warm advection and intense afternoon solar heating under mostly clear skies. This short-range numerical weather prediction consensus, with minimal model spread in the final 24 hours, underpins the market’s near-certain implied probability for exactly 28°C. Historical mid-May climatology for the Kanto Plain shows similar conditions often produce peaks within 1°C of guidance, though an unexpected increase in cloud cover or a late shift in steering flow could still nudge the recorded high slightly lower before official verification closes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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