Recent meteorological models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo on track for a daily maximum of 28°C under stable springtime high pressure, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that permits sufficient daytime heating. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 24–27°C before the onset of the rainy season. The market-implied odds reflect strong consensus across ensemble forecasts with limited spread in temperature outcomes. Only a late-arriving cold front or denser cloud buildup would realistically cap the peak below 28°C, while stronger insolation remains improbable given the current synoptic pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
Highest temperature in Tokyo on May 17?
28°C 96.5%
29°C 3.0%
30°C or higher 1.7%
20°C or below <1%
$65,782 ปริมาณ
$65,782 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
97%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
2%
28°C 96.5%
29°C 3.0%
30°C or higher 1.7%
20°C or below <1%
$65,782 ปริมาณ
$65,782 ปริมาณ
May 17, 2026
20°C or below
$2,924 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$1,793 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$819 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$5,290 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$8,425 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$7,219 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$9,537 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$9,990 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$7,117 ปริมาณ
97%
29°C
$5,034 ปริมาณ
3%
30°C or higher
$7,765 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo on track for a daily maximum of 28°C under stable springtime high pressure, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that permits sufficient daytime heating. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 24–27°C before the onset of the rainy season. The market-implied odds reflect strong consensus across ensemble forecasts with limited spread in temperature outcomes. Only a late-arriving cold front or denser cloud buildup would realistically cap the peak below 28°C, while stronger insolation remains improbable given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,782วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent meteorological models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo on track for a daily maximum of 28°C under stable springtime high pressure, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that permits sufficient daytime heating. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 24–27°C before the onset of the rainy season. The market-implied odds reflect strong consensus across ensemble forecasts with limited spread in temperature outcomes. Only a late-arriving cold front or denser cloud buildup would realistically cap the peak below 28°C, while stronger insolation remains improbable given the current synoptic pattern.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$65,782วันสิ้นสุด
May 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 15, 2026, 12:04 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTRecent meteorological models from the Japan Meteorological Agency show Tokyo on track for a daily maximum of 28°C under stable springtime high pressure, light southerly winds, and partial cloud cover that permits sufficient daytime heating. This aligns with mid-May climatology, where average highs range 24–27°C before the onset of the rainy season. The market-implied odds reflect strong consensus across ensemble forecasts with limited spread in temperature outcomes. Only a late-arriving cold front or denser cloud buildup would realistically cap the peak below 28°C, while stronger insolation remains improbable given the current synoptic pattern.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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