Forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 15, with light northeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture expected to moderate peak solar heating and surface warming. This creates tight market-implied odds between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C or higher, as small shifts in timing or intensity of afternoon convection could alter the outcome. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, but recent overcast conditions and variable steering patterns have introduced modest uncertainty in the latest ensemble runs, keeping trader consensus balanced across the leading bins. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from Zhengzhou Xinzheng station will refine resolution prospects ahead of close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 15?
32°C or higher 31%
30°C 29%
29°C 12%
28°C 2.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
2%
29°C
12%
30°C
29%
31°C
33%
32°C or higher
31%
32°C or higher 31%
30°C 29%
29°C 12%
28°C 2.1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 15, 2026
22°C or below
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$14 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$14 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$12 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$17 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$216 ปริมาณ
2%
29°C
$1 ปริมาณ
12%
30°C
$1 ปริมาณ
29%
31°C
$35 ปริมาณ
33%
32°C or higher
$16 ปริมาณ
31%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 15, with light northeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture expected to moderate peak solar heating and surface warming. This creates tight market-implied odds between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C or higher, as small shifts in timing or intensity of afternoon convection could alter the outcome. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, but recent overcast conditions and variable steering patterns have introduced modest uncertainty in the latest ensemble runs, keeping trader consensus balanced across the leading bins. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from Zhengzhou Xinzheng station will refine resolution prospects ahead of close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$536วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 15, with light northeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture expected to moderate peak solar heating and surface warming. This creates tight market-implied odds between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C or higher, as small shifts in timing or intensity of afternoon convection could alter the outcome. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, but recent overcast conditions and variable steering patterns have introduced modest uncertainty in the latest ensemble runs, keeping trader consensus balanced across the leading bins. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from Zhengzhou Xinzheng station will refine resolution prospects ahead of close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$536วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 14, 2026, 12:55 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including China's National Meteorological Center indicate a daily maximum near 31°C in Zhengzhou on August 15, with light northeasterly winds, partial cloud cover, and limited moisture expected to moderate peak solar heating and surface warming. This creates tight market-implied odds between 30°C, 31°C, and 32°C or higher, as small shifts in timing or intensity of afternoon convection could alter the outcome. Historical August averages hover near 30°C, but recent overcast conditions and variable steering patterns have introduced modest uncertainty in the latest ensemble runs, keeping trader consensus balanced across the leading bins. Updated short-range guidance and observational data from Zhengzhou Xinzheng station will refine resolution prospects ahead of close.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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