Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under a mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while exceeding the 11 °C historical average low. Trader consensus around the 15–16 °C outcomes reflects this model agreement, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late frontal passage that could allow brief additional cooling or maintain warmer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI observations the following morning will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Amsterdam on September 13?
22°C or higher 64%
12°C or below 63%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
12°C or below
63%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
29%
16°C
28%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C
39%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
64%
22°C or higher 64%
12°C or below 63%
13°C 40%
14°C 40%
12°C or below
63%
13°C
40%
14°C
40%
15°C
29%
16°C
28%
17°C
22%
18°C
21%
19°C
39%
20°C
14%
21°C
8%
22°C or higher
64%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 11, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eham
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ehamผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from European models indicates Amsterdam's overnight minimum on September 13 will likely settle between 14–16 °C under a mild westerly flow and increasing cloud cover that limits radiative cooling. Persistent humidity near 80–90 % and light winds further suppress temperature drops, aligning with climatological norms for mid-September while exceeding the 11 °C historical average low. Trader consensus around the 15–16 °C outcomes reflects this model agreement, tempered by uncertainty in exact cloud timing and any late frontal passage that could allow brief additional cooling or maintain warmer conditions. Updated high-resolution runs and official KNMI observations the following morning will provide the decisive data for market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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