**Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and EaseWeather consistently project a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 1, 2026, consistent with the long-term climatological average of roughly 11–12°C (52°F) driven by the moderating Benguela Current and typical early-spring southerly flows.** Model consensus shows mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows mild. Trader positioning, with the highest implied probability on 4°C or below, likely reflects awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges, potential model shifts toward stronger cold-air advection, or historical variability where occasional clear, calm nights allow dips several degrees below average. Upcoming updated model runs from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles will provide the key data releases likely to refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Cape Town on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Cape Town on September 1?
4°C or below 85%
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
4°C or below
85%
5°C
47%
6°C
25%
7°C
49%
8°C
29%
9°C
27%
10°C
25%
11°C
25%
12°C
49%
13°C
49%
14°C or higher
2%
4°C or below 85%
7°C 49%
12°C 49%
13°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
4°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
85%
5°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
6°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
7°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
8°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
14°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and EaseWeather consistently project a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 1, 2026, consistent with the long-term climatological average of roughly 11–12°C (52°F) driven by the moderating Benguela Current and typical early-spring southerly flows.** Model consensus shows mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows mild. Trader positioning, with the highest implied probability on 4°C or below, likely reflects awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges, potential model shifts toward stronger cold-air advection, or historical variability where occasional clear, calm nights allow dips several degrees below average. Upcoming updated model runs from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles will provide the key data releases likely to refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and EaseWeather consistently project a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 1, 2026, consistent with the long-term climatological average of roughly 11–12°C (52°F) driven by the moderating Benguela Current and typical early-spring southerly flows.** Model consensus shows mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows mild. Trader positioning, with the highest implied probability on 4°C or below, likely reflects awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges, potential model shifts toward stronger cold-air advection, or historical variability where occasional clear, calm nights allow dips several degrees below average. Upcoming updated model runs from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles will provide the key data releases likely to refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=fact
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=factผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Recent official forecasts from sources including WeatherBug, WindBorne, and EaseWeather consistently project a minimum temperature near 11–12°C for Cape Town on September 1, 2026, consistent with the long-term climatological average of roughly 11–12°C (52°F) driven by the moderating Benguela Current and typical early-spring southerly flows.** Model consensus shows mostly clear to partly cloudy conditions with light winds, limiting radiative cooling and keeping overnight lows mild. Trader positioning, with the highest implied probability on 4°C or below, likely reflects awareness of forecast uncertainty ranges, potential model shifts toward stronger cold-air advection, or historical variability where occasional clear, calm nights allow dips several degrees below average. Upcoming updated model runs from the South African Weather Service and international ensembles will provide the key data releases likely to refine these market-implied odds before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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