Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from a strong system moving through Chongqing on August 28–29 have introduced notable uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for the August 30 low temperature. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates a broad range of 20–37 °C, with center-city forecasts centering on 24–31 °C amid lingering showers or scattered clouds, while global models cluster nearer 23 °C. High humidity following the event reduces the diurnal temperature range by limiting clear-sky heat loss, and variable steering patterns plus basin topography can trap or ventilate cooler air. These factors explain why market-implied odds remain closely split between sub-19 °C and 29 °C-plus outcomes despite typical late-August climatology favoring mid-20s minima. Updated CMA model runs and surface observations expected overnight will likely resolve the spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
Lowest temperature in Chongqing on August 30?
19°C or below 98%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
23°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
98%
20°C
50%
21°C
27%
22°C
27%
23°C
28%
24°C
26%
25°C
50%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
1%
19°C or below 98%
20°C 50%
25°C 50%
23°C 28%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 30, 2026
19°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
98%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
28°C
$1,015 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C or higher
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from a strong system moving through Chongqing on August 28–29 have introduced notable uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for the August 30 low temperature. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates a broad range of 20–37 °C, with center-city forecasts centering on 24–31 °C amid lingering showers or scattered clouds, while global models cluster nearer 23 °C. High humidity following the event reduces the diurnal temperature range by limiting clear-sky heat loss, and variable steering patterns plus basin topography can trap or ventilate cooler air. These factors explain why market-implied odds remain closely split between sub-19 °C and 29 °C-plus outcomes despite typical late-August climatology favoring mid-20s minima. Updated CMA model runs and surface observations expected overnight will likely resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,025วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from a strong system moving through Chongqing on August 28–29 have introduced notable uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for the August 30 low temperature. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates a broad range of 20–37 °C, with center-city forecasts centering on 24–31 °C amid lingering showers or scattered clouds, while global models cluster nearer 23 °C. High humidity following the event reduces the diurnal temperature range by limiting clear-sky heat loss, and variable steering patterns plus basin topography can trap or ventilate cooler air. These factors explain why market-implied odds remain closely split between sub-19 °C and 29 °C-plus outcomes despite typical late-August climatology favoring mid-20s minima. Updated CMA model runs and surface observations expected overnight will likely resolve the spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuck
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,025วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 30, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuckผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent rainfall and associated cloud cover from a strong system moving through Chongqing on August 28–29 have introduced notable uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling for the August 30 low temperature. Official guidance from the Chongqing Meteorological Bureau indicates a broad range of 20–37 °C, with center-city forecasts centering on 24–31 °C amid lingering showers or scattered clouds, while global models cluster nearer 23 °C. High humidity following the event reduces the diurnal temperature range by limiting clear-sky heat loss, and variable steering patterns plus basin topography can trap or ventilate cooler air. These factors explain why market-implied odds remain closely split between sub-19 °C and 29 °C-plus outcomes despite typical late-August climatology favoring mid-20s minima. Updated CMA model runs and surface observations expected overnight will likely resolve the spread.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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