Recent short-range forecast model runs for Helsinki show notable divergence in overnight low temperatures on September 1, with ensemble guidance split between scenarios supporting a minimum near or below 8°C under clearer, calmer conditions and warmer outcomes near or above 18°C if cloud cover or stronger winds limit radiative cooling. Historical data place the typical September 1 low at approximately 11–12°C, but late-August atmospheric patterns featuring variable Atlantic flow and frontal activity introduce uncertainty in boundary-layer stability and moisture. This genuine spread in guidance, rather than a single dominant signal, underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for cooler versus milder extremes while compressing odds on intermediate values around the climatological mean. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of the spread ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Helsinki on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Helsinki on September 1?
8°C or below 93%
18°C or higher 59%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
93%
9°C
47%
10°C
49%
11°C
49%
12°C
26%
13°C
26%
14°C
49%
15°C
49%
16°C
2%
17°C
8%
18°C or higher
59%
8°C or below 93%
18°C or higher 59%
10°C 49%
11°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
8°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
93%
9°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
10°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
11°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
18°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
59%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs for Helsinki show notable divergence in overnight low temperatures on September 1, with ensemble guidance split between scenarios supporting a minimum near or below 8°C under clearer, calmer conditions and warmer outcomes near or above 18°C if cloud cover or stronger winds limit radiative cooling. Historical data place the typical September 1 low at approximately 11–12°C, but late-August atmospheric patterns featuring variable Atlantic flow and frontal activity introduce uncertainty in boundary-layer stability and moisture. This genuine spread in guidance, rather than a single dominant signal, underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for cooler versus milder extremes while compressing odds on intermediate values around the climatological mean. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecast model runs for Helsinki show notable divergence in overnight low temperatures on September 1, with ensemble guidance split between scenarios supporting a minimum near or below 8°C under clearer, calmer conditions and warmer outcomes near or above 18°C if cloud cover or stronger winds limit radiative cooling. Historical data place the typical September 1 low at approximately 11–12°C, but late-August atmospheric patterns featuring variable Atlantic flow and frontal activity introduce uncertainty in boundary-layer stability and moisture. This genuine spread in guidance, rather than a single dominant signal, underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for cooler versus milder extremes while compressing odds on intermediate values around the climatological mean. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of the spread ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=efhkผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecast model runs for Helsinki show notable divergence in overnight low temperatures on September 1, with ensemble guidance split between scenarios supporting a minimum near or below 8°C under clearer, calmer conditions and warmer outcomes near or above 18°C if cloud cover or stronger winds limit radiative cooling. Historical data place the typical September 1 low at approximately 11–12°C, but late-August atmospheric patterns featuring variable Atlantic flow and frontal activity introduce uncertainty in boundary-layer stability and moisture. This genuine spread in guidance, rather than a single dominant signal, underpins the near-even market-implied probabilities for cooler versus milder extremes while compressing odds on intermediate values around the climatological mean. Updated runs from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ECMWF over the next 24–48 hours will likely resolve much of the spread ahead of market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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