Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 25°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming market consensus at this level amid stable late-spring subtropical conditions. Southerly airflow and elevated humidity limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings aligned with regional climatological averages for the period rather than allowing dips toward more typical 22–24°C thresholds. Forecast models from regional agencies showed strong agreement on these parameters, with urban heat retention and pressure gradients further supporting the observed low. Traders view the outcome as resolved barring any rare post-hoc adjustments to official station data or microclimate recalibrations at the primary site.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 99.9%
18°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,971 ปริมาณ
$63,971 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.9%
18°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,971 ปริมาณ
$63,971 ปริมาณ
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
$2,541 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$2,325 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$2,408 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$2,288 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$3,899 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$5,193 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$12,287 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$8,673 ปริมาณ
100%
26°C
$12,015 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$8,229 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$4,112 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 25°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming market consensus at this level amid stable late-spring subtropical conditions. Southerly airflow and elevated humidity limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings aligned with regional climatological averages for the period rather than allowing dips toward more typical 22–24°C thresholds. Forecast models from regional agencies showed strong agreement on these parameters, with urban heat retention and pressure gradients further supporting the observed low. Traders view the outcome as resolved barring any rare post-hoc adjustments to official station data or microclimate recalibrations at the primary site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,971วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 25°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming market consensus at this level amid stable late-spring subtropical conditions. Southerly airflow and elevated humidity limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings aligned with regional climatological averages for the period rather than allowing dips toward more typical 22–24°C thresholds. Forecast models from regional agencies showed strong agreement on these parameters, with urban heat retention and pressure gradients further supporting the observed low. Traders view the outcome as resolved barring any rare post-hoc adjustments to official station data or microclimate recalibrations at the primary site.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$63,971วันสิ้นสุด
May 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official meteorological observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a minimum temperature of 25°C on May 15, driving the overwhelming market consensus at this level amid stable late-spring subtropical conditions. Southerly airflow and elevated humidity limited overnight radiative cooling, keeping readings aligned with regional climatological averages for the period rather than allowing dips toward more typical 22–24°C thresholds. Forecast models from regional agencies showed strong agreement on these parameters, with urban heat retention and pressure gradients further supporting the observed low. Traders view the outcome as resolved barring any rare post-hoc adjustments to official station data or microclimate recalibrations at the primary site.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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