The market's near-certain positioning on 23°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for May 16, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Typical May climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging 23–25°C, and recent model guidance from global ensembles showed minimal deviation due to light winds and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. This outcome matches historical baselines without anomalous cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover reductions that could have driven lower readings. Only a late data revision or reanalysis by the Observatory could alter the result, an event with negligible probability given established verification protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 16?
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 ปริมาณ
$38,336 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
100%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
23°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
24°C <1%
$38,336 ปริมาณ
$38,336 ปริมาณ
May 16, 2026
18°C or below
$2,220 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$1,380 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$676 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$2,786 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$1,677 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$3,722 ปริมาณ
100%
24°C
$7,233 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$8,433 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C
$5,324 ปริมาณ
<1%
27°C
$2,252 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C or higher
$2,634 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 23°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for May 16, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Typical May climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging 23–25°C, and recent model guidance from global ensembles showed minimal deviation due to light winds and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. This outcome matches historical baselines without anomalous cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover reductions that could have driven lower readings. Only a late data revision or reanalysis by the Observatory could alter the result, an event with negligible probability given established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,336วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market's near-certain positioning on 23°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for May 16, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Typical May climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging 23–25°C, and recent model guidance from global ensembles showed minimal deviation due to light winds and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. This outcome matches historical baselines without anomalous cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover reductions that could have driven lower readings. Only a late data revision or reanalysis by the Observatory could alter the result, an event with negligible probability given established verification protocols.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 16 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$38,336วันสิ้นสุด
May 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 13, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThe market's near-certain positioning on 23°C reflects the Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature observation for May 16, which aligned precisely with that threshold under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Typical May climatology for the region features overnight lows averaging 23–25°C, and recent model guidance from global ensembles showed minimal deviation due to light winds and high humidity suppressing radiative cooling. This outcome matches historical baselines without anomalous cold-air intrusions or cloud-cover reductions that could have driven lower readings. Only a late data revision or reanalysis by the Observatory could alter the result, an event with negligible probability given established verification protocols.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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