**Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London of 12–13°C for June 14, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight without strong cold advection, keeping the low near or slightly above the long-term June average of roughly 11–12°C. Traders have priced 13°C at 67.5% implied probability because multiple model runs converge on that exact threshold as the most probable outcome, with 12°C a close second at 24.5%. Lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect limited downside risk from the current mild maritime air mass, while outcomes of 14°C or higher receive minimal weight given the expected clear-sky cooling. Key resolution factors include the official minimum recorded at a standard London station (typically Heathrow or central sites) and the absence of significant frontal systems or stronger winds that could alter the nocturnal temperature curve. Updated model guidance through the evening of June 13 reinforced this narrow 12–13°C band, anchoring market sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 14?
Lowest temperature in London on June 14?
13°C 68%
12°C 22%
11°C 8%
10°C 2.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
3%
11°C
8%
12°C
22%
13°C
68%
14°C
2%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
<1%
13°C 68%
12°C 22%
11°C 8%
10°C 2.6%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 14, 2026
7°C or below
$790 ปริมาณ
<1%
8°C
$728 ปริมาณ
<1%
9°C
$535 ปริมาณ
<1%
10°C
$400 ปริมาณ
3%
11°C
$323 ปริมาณ
8%
12°C
$380 ปริมาณ
22%
13°C
$320 ปริมาณ
68%
14°C
$802 ปริมาณ
2%
15°C
$1,002 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$1,020 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C or higher
$585 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London of 12–13°C for June 14, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight without strong cold advection, keeping the low near or slightly above the long-term June average of roughly 11–12°C.
Traders have priced 13°C at 67.5% implied probability because multiple model runs converge on that exact threshold as the most probable outcome, with 12°C a close second at 24.5%. Lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect limited downside risk from the current mild maritime air mass, while outcomes of 14°C or higher receive minimal weight given the expected clear-sky cooling.
Key resolution factors include the official minimum recorded at a standard London station (typically Heathrow or central sites) and the absence of significant frontal systems or stronger winds that could alter the nocturnal temperature curve. Updated model guidance through the evening of June 13 reinforced this narrow 12–13°C band, anchoring market sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,713วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London of 12–13°C for June 14, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight without strong cold advection, keeping the low near or slightly above the long-term June average of roughly 11–12°C.
Traders have priced 13°C at 67.5% implied probability because multiple model runs converge on that exact threshold as the most probable outcome, with 12°C a close second at 24.5%. Lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect limited downside risk from the current mild maritime air mass, while outcomes of 14°C or higher receive minimal weight given the expected clear-sky cooling.
Key resolution factors include the official minimum recorded at a standard London station (typically Heathrow or central sites) and the absence of significant frontal systems or stronger winds that could alter the nocturnal temperature curve. Updated model guidance through the evening of June 13 reinforced this narrow 12–13°C band, anchoring market sentiment.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,713วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 14, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent Met Office and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight minimum temperatures in London of 12–13°C for June 14, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light northwesterly winds.** This setup favors moderate radiative cooling overnight without strong cold advection, keeping the low near or slightly above the long-term June average of roughly 11–12°C. Traders have priced 13°C at 67.5% implied probability because multiple model runs converge on that exact threshold as the most probable outcome, with 12°C a close second at 24.5%. Lower probabilities for 11°C or below reflect limited downside risk from the current mild maritime air mass, while outcomes of 14°C or higher receive minimal weight given the expected clear-sky cooling. Key resolution factors include the official minimum recorded at a standard London station (typically Heathrow or central sites) and the absence of significant frontal systems or stronger winds that could alter the nocturnal temperature curve. Updated model guidance through the evening of June 13 reinforced this narrow 12–13°C band, anchoring market sentiment.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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