The near-even split between 12°C and 13°C as the implied lowest temperature in London on June 15 reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds following a warmer-than-average late spring. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show minimums clustering in this narrow range, with slight differences in predicted humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether temperatures dip to the lower end. Historical June climatology for central London places typical overnight lows near 11–12°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to outcomes above 14°C or below 11°C absent a stronger high-pressure setup or unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and observational data from the coming hours will likely tighten the market before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 15?
Lowest temperature in London on June 15?
13°C 36%
12°C 35%
14°C 13%
11°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
3%
11°C
12%
12°C
35%
13°C
36%
14°C
13%
15°C
4%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 36%
12°C 35%
14°C 13%
11°C 12%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 15, 2026
8°C or below
$109 ปริมาณ
1%
9°C
$37 ปริมาณ
1%
10°C
$53 ปริมาณ
3%
11°C
$69 ปริมาณ
12%
12°C
$61 ปริมาณ
35%
13°C
$103 ปริมาณ
36%
14°C
$92 ปริมาณ
13%
15°C
$232 ปริมาณ
4%
16°C
$148 ปริมาณ
1%
17°C
$147 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C or higher
$54 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-even split between 12°C and 13°C as the implied lowest temperature in London on June 15 reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds following a warmer-than-average late spring. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show minimums clustering in this narrow range, with slight differences in predicted humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether temperatures dip to the lower end. Historical June climatology for central London places typical overnight lows near 11–12°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to outcomes above 14°C or below 11°C absent a stronger high-pressure setup or unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and observational data from the coming hours will likely tighten the market before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,069วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-even split between 12°C and 13°C as the implied lowest temperature in London on June 15 reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds following a warmer-than-average late spring. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show minimums clustering in this narrow range, with slight differences in predicted humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether temperatures dip to the lower end. Historical June climatology for central London places typical overnight lows near 11–12°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to outcomes above 14°C or below 11°C absent a stronger high-pressure setup or unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and observational data from the coming hours will likely tighten the market before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,069วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 15, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-even split between 12°C and 13°C as the implied lowest temperature in London on June 15 reflects model uncertainty in overnight radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and light winds following a warmer-than-average late spring. Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF show minimums clustering in this narrow range, with slight differences in predicted humidity and boundary-layer mixing determining whether temperatures dip to the lower end. Historical June climatology for central London places typical overnight lows near 11–12°C, providing context for why traders assign minimal probability to outcomes above 14°C or below 11°C absent a stronger high-pressure setup or unexpected frontal passage. Updated model runs and observational data from the coming hours will likely tighten the market before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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