**Trader sentiment for Madrid's August 22 minimum temperature centers on a tight cluster around 17–19°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent model guidance from AEMET and global ensembles.** Official forecasts indicate a minimum near 18°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, promoting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect prevents sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with consensus lows between 17–19°C driven by typical late-August subsidence and no incoming fronts or significant moisture. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for Madrid in mid-to-late August, where average overnight lows hover near 16–18°C. The near-even implied probabilities across the top three outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and localized measurement variations at official stations. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market balanced ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 22?
18°C 53%
19°C 34%
17°C 23%
16°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
13°C or below
2%
14°C
7%
15°C
9%
16°C
11%
17°C
32%
18°C
37%
19°C
34%
20°C
10%
21°C
8%
22°C
5%
23°C or higher
1%
18°C 53%
19°C 34%
17°C 23%
16°C 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
13°C or below
$22 ปริมาณ
2%
14°C
$17 ปริมาณ
7%
15°C
$17 ปริมาณ
9%
16°C
$42 ปริมาณ
11%
17°C
$17 ปริมาณ
32%
18°C
$35 ปริมาณ
37%
19°C
$17 ปริมาณ
34%
20°C
$17 ปริมาณ
10%
21°C
$17 ปริมาณ
8%
22°C
$17 ปริมาณ
5%
23°C or higher
$17 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Madrid's August 22 minimum temperature centers on a tight cluster around 17–19°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent model guidance from AEMET and global ensembles.** Official forecasts indicate a minimum near 18°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, promoting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect prevents sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with consensus lows between 17–19°C driven by typical late-August subsidence and no incoming fronts or significant moisture.
This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for Madrid in mid-to-late August, where average overnight lows hover near 16–18°C. The near-even implied probabilities across the top three outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and localized measurement variations at official stations. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market balanced ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$239วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Madrid's August 22 minimum temperature centers on a tight cluster around 17–19°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent model guidance from AEMET and global ensembles.** Official forecasts indicate a minimum near 18°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, promoting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect prevents sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with consensus lows between 17–19°C driven by typical late-August subsidence and no incoming fronts or significant moisture.
This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for Madrid in mid-to-late August, where average overnight lows hover near 16–18°C. The near-even implied probabilities across the top three outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and localized measurement variations at official stations. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market balanced ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$239วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:32 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Madrid's August 22 minimum temperature centers on a tight cluster around 17–19°C, reflecting stable high-pressure conditions and consistent model guidance from AEMET and global ensembles.** Official forecasts indicate a minimum near 18°C under clear to partly cloudy skies with light winds, promoting moderate nocturnal radiative cooling while the urban heat island effect prevents sharper drops. Recent model runs show minimal spread, with consensus lows between 17–19°C driven by typical late-August subsidence and no incoming fronts or significant moisture. This positioning aligns with climatological baselines for Madrid in mid-to-late August, where average overnight lows hover near 16–18°C. The near-even implied probabilities across the top three outcomes capture residual uncertainty in exact boundary-layer cooling rates and localized measurement variations at official stations. No major shifts have occurred in the past 48 hours, keeping the market balanced ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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