**Trader consensus around 25–28°C for Manila’s August 22 low reflects typical late-monsoon variability and model spread in overnight cooling.** PAGASA and international guidance indicate 70% rain chances with lows near 25°C, consistent with August climatology of 24–26°C minima under high humidity that limits radiative heat loss. Scattered showers and persistent cloud cover can suppress daytime heating and moderate nocturnal drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower end of the range. The urban heat island effect in Metro Manila further anchors nighttime readings above rural baselines. Close probabilities across 25–28°C outcomes stem from ensemble differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 22?
30°C 32%
27°C 31%
23°C 30%
26°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
30%
24°C
25%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
31%
28°C
26%
29°C
25%
30°C
32%
31°C or higher
2%
30°C 32%
27°C 31%
23°C 30%
26°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 22, 2026
21°C or below
$47 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C
$45 ปริมาณ
2%
23°C
$85 ปริมาณ
30%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
25°C
$1 ปริมาณ
28%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
30°C
$37 ปริมาณ
32%
31°C or higher
$28 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 25–28°C for Manila’s August 22 low reflects typical late-monsoon variability and model spread in overnight cooling.** PAGASA and international guidance indicate 70% rain chances with lows near 25°C, consistent with August climatology of 24–26°C minima under high humidity that limits radiative heat loss. Scattered showers and persistent cloud cover can suppress daytime heating and moderate nocturnal drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower end of the range. The urban heat island effect in Metro Manila further anchors nighttime readings above rural baselines. Close probabilities across 25–28°C outcomes stem from ensemble differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$242วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus around 25–28°C for Manila’s August 22 low reflects typical late-monsoon variability and model spread in overnight cooling.** PAGASA and international guidance indicate 70% rain chances with lows near 25°C, consistent with August climatology of 24–26°C minima under high humidity that limits radiative heat loss. Scattered showers and persistent cloud cover can suppress daytime heating and moderate nocturnal drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower end of the range. The urban heat island effect in Metro Manila further anchors nighttime readings above rural baselines. Close probabilities across 25–28°C outcomes stem from ensemble differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at official stations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$242วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 22, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:34 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around 25–28°C for Manila’s August 22 low reflects typical late-monsoon variability and model spread in overnight cooling.** PAGASA and international guidance indicate 70% rain chances with lows near 25°C, consistent with August climatology of 24–26°C minima under high humidity that limits radiative heat loss. Scattered showers and persistent cloud cover can suppress daytime heating and moderate nocturnal drops, while clearer intervals allow greater cooling toward the lower end of the range. The urban heat island effect in Metro Manila further anchors nighttime readings above rural baselines. Close probabilities across 25–28°C outcomes stem from ensemble differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind patterns, with resolution hinging on the final observed minimum at official stations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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