Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon is sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity through August 21, moderating Manila’s diurnal temperature range. PAGASA outlooks and supporting model guidance consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under these conditions, as reduced radiative cooling prevents sharper nighttime drops typical of clearer periods. August climatology shows average minima near 25°C, with monsoon-enhanced moisture and winds further compressing the range. This scientific setup positions 26–28°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on the monsoon’s temperature-suppressing effects. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Manila on August 21?
25°C 59%
23°C 58%
24°C 58%
26°C 34%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
58%
24°C
58%
25°C
59%
26°C
34%
27°C
34%
28°C
45%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
25°C 59%
23°C 58%
24°C 58%
26°C 34%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$49 ปริมาณ
1%
23°C
$98 ปริมาณ
58%
24°C
$104 ปริมาณ
58%
25°C
$94 ปริมาณ
59%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
34%
28°C
$10 ปริมาณ
45%
29°C
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
31°C
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
32°C or higher
$105 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon is sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity through August 21, moderating Manila’s diurnal temperature range. PAGASA outlooks and supporting model guidance consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under these conditions, as reduced radiative cooling prevents sharper nighttime drops typical of clearer periods. August climatology shows average minima near 25°C, with monsoon-enhanced moisture and winds further compressing the range. This scientific setup positions 26–28°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on the monsoon’s temperature-suppressing effects. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$775วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon is sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity through August 21, moderating Manila’s diurnal temperature range. PAGASA outlooks and supporting model guidance consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under these conditions, as reduced radiative cooling prevents sharper nighttime drops typical of clearer periods. August climatology shows average minima near 25°C, with monsoon-enhanced moisture and winds further compressing the range. This scientific setup positions 26–28°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on the monsoon’s temperature-suppressing effects. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$775วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 21, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing southwest monsoon (habagat) activity across western Luzon is sustaining widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and elevated humidity through August 21, moderating Manila’s diurnal temperature range. PAGASA outlooks and supporting model guidance consistently project overnight lows of 24–26°C under these conditions, as reduced radiative cooling prevents sharper nighttime drops typical of clearer periods. August climatology shows average minima near 25°C, with monsoon-enhanced moisture and winds further compressing the range. This scientific setup positions 26–28°C as the leading market-implied outcomes, reflecting trader consensus on the monsoon’s temperature-suppressing effects. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs remain the primary near-term catalysts that could shift probabilities.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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