Recent forecast consensus from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather positions the lowest temperature in Madrid on August 23 near 19°C, with 18–20°C outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities due to stable high-pressure conditions promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight on the Iberian Plateau. Daytime highs around 32°C will give way to clear or partly cloudy skies, limiting further temperature drops compared to more humid or overcast scenarios. Late-August climatology supports baseline lows of 16–18°C, and current guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders weigh these model runs against typical urban heat retention, which tempers extremes while keeping probabilities concentrated in the narrow 18–20°C band ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on August 23?
19°C 46%
18°C 27%
20°C 17%
17°C or below 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
17°C or below
13%
18°C
27%
19°C
46%
20°C
17%
21°C
11%
22°C
10%
23°C
6%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
19°C 46%
18°C 27%
20°C 17%
17°C or below 13%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 23, 2026
17°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
18°C
$1 ปริมาณ
27%
19°C
$27 ปริมาณ
46%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
11%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
24°C
$142 ปริมาณ
2%
25°C
$37 ปริมาณ
1%
26°C
$26 ปริมาณ
1%
27°C or higher
$27 ปริมาณ
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather positions the lowest temperature in Madrid on August 23 near 19°C, with 18–20°C outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities due to stable high-pressure conditions promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight on the Iberian Plateau. Daytime highs around 32°C will give way to clear or partly cloudy skies, limiting further temperature drops compared to more humid or overcast scenarios. Late-August climatology supports baseline lows of 16–18°C, and current guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders weigh these model runs against typical urban heat retention, which tempers extremes while keeping probabilities concentrated in the narrow 18–20°C band ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$259วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast consensus from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather positions the lowest temperature in Madrid on August 23 near 19°C, with 18–20°C outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities due to stable high-pressure conditions promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight on the Iberian Plateau. Daytime highs around 32°C will give way to clear or partly cloudy skies, limiting further temperature drops compared to more humid or overcast scenarios. Late-August climatology supports baseline lows of 16–18°C, and current guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders weigh these model runs against typical urban heat retention, which tempers extremes while keeping probabilities concentrated in the narrow 18–20°C band ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$259วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 23, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast consensus from models like those used by the Met Office and AccuWeather positions the lowest temperature in Madrid on August 23 near 19°C, with 18–20°C outcomes holding the highest implied probabilities due to stable high-pressure conditions promoting moderate radiative cooling overnight on the Iberian Plateau. Daytime highs around 32°C will give way to clear or partly cloudy skies, limiting further temperature drops compared to more humid or overcast scenarios. Late-August climatology supports baseline lows of 16–18°C, and current guidance shows no incoming fronts or significant moisture to alter the pattern before resolution. Traders weigh these model runs against typical urban heat retention, which tempers extremes while keeping probabilities concentrated in the narrow 18–20°C band ahead of final observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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