Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on September 1 around 16–21 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This places the most likely minimum near the 1991–2020 average of 17.8 °C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to drive cooler or warmer deviations. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the sub-17 °C and mid-20 °C bins because resolution hinges on the precise hourly minimum at official stations, where small radiative cooling differences under clear conditions can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through August 31 will be the next key data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
Lowest temperature in Madrid on September 1?
26°C or higher 95%
16°C or below 53%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
53%
17°C
31%
18°C
28%
19°C
27%
20°C
49%
21°C
49%
22°C
49%
23°C
2%
24°C
8%
25°C
8%
26°C or higher
95%
26°C or higher 95%
16°C or below 53%
20°C 49%
21°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 1, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
53%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
26°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on September 1 around 16–21 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This places the most likely minimum near the 1991–2020 average of 17.8 °C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to drive cooler or warmer deviations. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the sub-17 °C and mid-20 °C bins because resolution hinges on the precise hourly minimum at official stations, where small radiative cooling differences under clear conditions can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through August 31 will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on September 1 around 16–21 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This places the most likely minimum near the 1991–2020 average of 17.8 °C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to drive cooler or warmer deviations. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the sub-17 °C and mid-20 °C bins because resolution hinges on the precise hourly minimum at official stations, where small radiative cooling differences under clear conditions can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through August 31 will be the next key data points.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 1, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 30, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current short-range forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and regional models indicate overnight lows in Madrid on September 1 around 16–21 °C under persistent high pressure, clear skies, and light northeasterly flow typical of late-summer anticyclonic conditions. This places the most likely minimum near the 1991–2020 average of 17.8 °C, with minimal model spread and no incoming fronts or moisture to drive cooler or warmer deviations. Trader odds remain closely balanced between the sub-17 °C and mid-20 °C bins because resolution hinges on the precise hourly minimum at official stations, where small radiative cooling differences under clear conditions can shift the outcome by 1–2 °C. Updated model runs and official observations through August 31 will be the next key data points.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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