Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-98%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the monsoon and distant ITCZ influence are limiting nighttime radiative cooling over Manila, anchoring the expected minimum temperature near the September climatological average of 25-26°C. Official guidance from PAGASA and model consensus point to overnight lows around 25°C amid light variable winds, yet timing differences in rainfall and wind shifts across forecasts create genuine uncertainty. This underpins the near-even market split between the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes, with specific bins clustered around 23-27°C reflecting trader assessment of modest model spread and typical urban heat-island effects. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will likely refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 17?
20°C or below 82%
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
24°C 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
82%
21°C
13%
22°C
39%
23°C
38%
24°C
24%
25°C
23%
26°C
23%
27°C
20%
28°C
10%
29°C
16%
30°C or higher
-
20°C or below 82%
22°C 39%
23°C 38%
24°C 24%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 17, 2026
20°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
82%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
13%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
39%
23°C
$83 ปริมาณ
38%
24°C
$10 ปริมาณ
24%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
26°C
$0 ปริมาณ
23%
27°C
$0 ปริมาณ
20%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
10%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
30°C or higher
$3 ปริมาณ
-
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-98%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the monsoon and distant ITCZ influence are limiting nighttime radiative cooling over Manila, anchoring the expected minimum temperature near the September climatological average of 25-26°C. Official guidance from PAGASA and model consensus point to overnight lows around 25°C amid light variable winds, yet timing differences in rainfall and wind shifts across forecasts create genuine uncertainty. This underpins the near-even market split between the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes, with specific bins clustered around 23-27°C reflecting trader assessment of modest model spread and typical urban heat-island effects. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-98%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the monsoon and distant ITCZ influence are limiting nighttime radiative cooling over Manila, anchoring the expected minimum temperature near the September climatological average of 25-26°C. Official guidance from PAGASA and model consensus point to overnight lows around 25°C amid light variable winds, yet timing differences in rainfall and wind shifts across forecasts create genuine uncertainty. This underpins the near-even market split between the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes, with specific bins clustered around 23-27°C reflecting trader assessment of modest model spread and typical urban heat-island effects. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will likely refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$96วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 17, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover, high humidity near 90-98%, and scattered thunderstorms tied to the monsoon and distant ITCZ influence are limiting nighttime radiative cooling over Manila, anchoring the expected minimum temperature near the September climatological average of 25-26°C. Official guidance from PAGASA and model consensus point to overnight lows around 25°C amid light variable winds, yet timing differences in rainfall and wind shifts across forecasts create genuine uncertainty. This underpins the near-even market split between the 20°C-or-below and 30°C-or-higher outcomes, with specific bins clustered around 23-27°C reflecting trader assessment of modest model spread and typical urban heat-island effects. Updated PAGASA briefings and next model runs will likely refine the range before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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