**Persistent monsoon cloud cover and high humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Manila, anchoring the expected minimum near 24–25°C on September 18.** Official forecasts from multiple models show nighttime lows of 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and dew points near 25°C, which suppress temperature drops typical in drier conditions. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows hover around 25–26°C amid frequent rain that maintains elevated boundary-layer moisture. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even 49.5% odds on 24°C versus 25°C highlights the narrow uncertainty band driven by minor variations in cloud timing and wind. Lower outcomes below 22°C remain improbable without unusual clear-sky radiative cooling, while the market's tight clustering underscores the value of updated local observations for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Manila on September 18?
Lowest temperature in Manila on September 18?
20°C or below 88%
25°C 50%
24°C 50%
22°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
88%
21°C
16%
22°C
18%
23°C
18%
24°C
50%
25°C
50%
26°C
26%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
20°C or below 88%
25°C 50%
24°C 50%
22°C 18%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 18, 2026
20°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
88%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
16%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
18%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
50%
26°C
$4,875 ปริมาณ
26%
27°C
$158 ปริมาณ
<1%
28°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
29°C
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
30°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon cloud cover and high humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Manila, anchoring the expected minimum near 24–25°C on September 18.** Official forecasts from multiple models show nighttime lows of 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and dew points near 25°C, which suppress temperature drops typical in drier conditions. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows hover around 25–26°C amid frequent rain that maintains elevated boundary-layer moisture. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even 49.5% odds on 24°C versus 25°C highlights the narrow uncertainty band driven by minor variations in cloud timing and wind. Lower outcomes below 22°C remain improbable without unusual clear-sky radiative cooling, while the market's tight clustering underscores the value of updated local observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,034วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Persistent monsoon cloud cover and high humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Manila, anchoring the expected minimum near 24–25°C on September 18.** Official forecasts from multiple models show nighttime lows of 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and dew points near 25°C, which suppress temperature drops typical in drier conditions. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows hover around 25–26°C amid frequent rain that maintains elevated boundary-layer moisture. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even 49.5% odds on 24°C versus 25°C highlights the narrow uncertainty band driven by minor variations in cloud timing and wind. Lower outcomes below 22°C remain improbable without unusual clear-sky radiative cooling, while the market's tight clustering underscores the value of updated local observations for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$5,034วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 18, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 16, 2026, 12:32 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Persistent monsoon cloud cover and high humidity are limiting overnight radiative cooling in Manila, anchoring the expected minimum near 24–25°C on September 18.** Official forecasts from multiple models show nighttime lows of 25–26°C under mostly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms and dew points near 25°C, which suppress temperature drops typical in drier conditions. This aligns with September climatology, where average lows hover around 25–26°C amid frequent rain that maintains elevated boundary-layer moisture. Trader consensus reflected in the near-even 49.5% odds on 24°C versus 25°C highlights the narrow uncertainty band driven by minor variations in cloud timing and wind. Lower outcomes below 22°C remain improbable without unusual clear-sky radiative cooling, while the market's tight clustering underscores the value of updated local observations for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย