Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms during Mexico City's rainy season are the main drivers keeping overnight lows uncertain for August 24. At 2,240 m elevation, radiative cooling under clear skies can produce sharper drops, but high humidity, dew points near 12–13°C, and widespread cloud reduce that effect, typically anchoring minima near 12–15°C. Recent model runs show small differences in precipitation timing and wind that shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight spread across 9–14°C outcomes. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, with traders weighting the current pattern of mild, moist nights against the chance of clearer breaks that could allow brief further cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
9°C or below 69%
14°C 37%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
9°C or below
69%
10°C
12%
11°C
9%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
33%
15°C
20%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
1%
9°C or below 69%
14°C 37%
13°C 20%
15°C 20%
9°C or below
69%
10°C
12%
11°C
9%
12°C
17%
13°C
20%
14°C
33%
15°C
20%
16°C
10%
17°C
1%
18°C
11%
19°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms during Mexico City's rainy season are the main drivers keeping overnight lows uncertain for August 24. At 2,240 m elevation, radiative cooling under clear skies can produce sharper drops, but high humidity, dew points near 12–13°C, and widespread cloud reduce that effect, typically anchoring minima near 12–15°C. Recent model runs show small differences in precipitation timing and wind that shift the exact low by 1–2°C, explaining the tight spread across 9–14°C outcomes. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, with traders weighting the current pattern of mild, moist nights against the chance of clearer breaks that could allow brief further cooling.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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