Recent forecast model runs indicate variable conditions for Munich on August 31, with a weakening high-pressure system giving way to Atlantic fronts that introduce cloud cover, light rain, and westerly winds. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows clustered around 14–17 °C according to multiple guidance sources, while daytime maxima reach 23–25 °C. The spread in market-implied probabilities across the 11–21 °C range reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks, which can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical August minima in the region average near 12–14 °C, but the current transition to more oceanic flow reduces the chance of colder outliers. Updated model outputs and official guidance from European meteorological agencies will refine the expected low ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on August 31?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 31?
11°C or below 58%
13°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
58%
12°C
47%
13°C
49%
14°C
28%
15°C
27%
16°C
27%
17°C
49%
18°C
49%
19°C
2%
20°C
8%
21°C or higher
49%
11°C or below 58%
13°C 49%
17°C 49%
18°C 49%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 31, 2026
11°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
58%
12°C
$0 ปริมาณ
47%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
28%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
8%
21°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate variable conditions for Munich on August 31, with a weakening high-pressure system giving way to Atlantic fronts that introduce cloud cover, light rain, and westerly winds. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows clustered around 14–17 °C according to multiple guidance sources, while daytime maxima reach 23–25 °C. The spread in market-implied probabilities across the 11–21 °C range reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks, which can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical August minima in the region average near 12–14 °C, but the current transition to more oceanic flow reduces the chance of colder outliers. Updated model outputs and official guidance from European meteorological agencies will refine the expected low ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs indicate variable conditions for Munich on August 31, with a weakening high-pressure system giving way to Atlantic fronts that introduce cloud cover, light rain, and westerly winds. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows clustered around 14–17 °C according to multiple guidance sources, while daytime maxima reach 23–25 °C. The spread in market-implied probabilities across the 11–21 °C range reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks, which can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical August minima in the region average near 12–14 °C, but the current transition to more oceanic flow reduces the chance of colder outliers. Updated model outputs and official guidance from European meteorological agencies will refine the expected low ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$0วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 29, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs indicate variable conditions for Munich on August 31, with a weakening high-pressure system giving way to Atlantic fronts that introduce cloud cover, light rain, and westerly winds. This setup limits nocturnal radiative cooling, supporting overnight lows clustered around 14–17 °C according to multiple guidance sources, while daytime maxima reach 23–25 °C. The spread in market-implied probabilities across the 11–21 °C range reflects uncertainty in exact timing of precipitation and cloud breaks, which can alter the minimum by several degrees. Historical August minima in the region average near 12–14 °C, but the current transition to more oceanic flow reduces the chance of colder outliers. Updated model outputs and official guidance from European meteorological agencies will refine the expected low ahead of resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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