Recent forecast runs from high-resolution models highlight clear skies and light westerly winds over Munich, promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset and positioning the overnight minimum near 11–12 °C. This aligns with the 59 % market-implied probability for an 11 °C low, consistent with the climatological average minimum of 12.7 °C while remaining above the date’s all-time record of 4.4 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited risk of deeper cooling under any unexpected cloud cover or stronger flow, explaining the low odds on 10 °C or below. Official readings from the Munich station will determine resolution once the full 24-hour period concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
Lowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
10°C or below 99.8%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
100%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 99.8%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 29, 2026
10°C or below
$4,032 ปริมาณ
100%
11°C
$633 ปริมาณ
<1%
12°C
$246 ปริมาณ
<1%
13°C
$233 ปริมาณ
<1%
14°C
$198 ปริมาณ
<1%
15°C
$224 ปริมาณ
<1%
16°C
$336 ปริมาณ
<1%
17°C
$220 ปริมาณ
<1%
18°C
$228 ปริมาณ
<1%
19°C
$198 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C or higher
$198 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from high-resolution models highlight clear skies and light westerly winds over Munich, promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset and positioning the overnight minimum near 11–12 °C. This aligns with the 59 % market-implied probability for an 11 °C low, consistent with the climatological average minimum of 12.7 °C while remaining above the date’s all-time record of 4.4 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited risk of deeper cooling under any unexpected cloud cover or stronger flow, explaining the low odds on 10 °C or below. Official readings from the Munich station will determine resolution once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,749วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from high-resolution models highlight clear skies and light westerly winds over Munich, promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset and positioning the overnight minimum near 11–12 °C. This aligns with the 59 % market-implied probability for an 11 °C low, consistent with the climatological average minimum of 12.7 °C while remaining above the date’s all-time record of 4.4 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited risk of deeper cooling under any unexpected cloud cover or stronger flow, explaining the low odds on 10 °C or below. Official readings from the Munich station will determine resolution once the full 24-hour period concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$6,749วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 29, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from high-resolution models highlight clear skies and light westerly winds over Munich, promoting strong radiative cooling after sunset and positioning the overnight minimum near 11–12 °C. This aligns with the 59 % market-implied probability for an 11 °C low, consistent with the climatological average minimum of 12.7 °C while remaining above the date’s all-time record of 4.4 °C. Ensemble spread remains modest, with limited risk of deeper cooling under any unexpected cloud cover or stronger flow, explaining the low odds on 10 °C or below. Official readings from the Munich station will determine resolution once the full 24-hour period concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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