Recent forecast runs from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Munich’s September 8 minimum will likely fall between 12–16 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 12 °C or below (41 %) and the 13–14 °C bins (28–30 %), reflecting model consensus around the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1 °C while noting a current warm anomaly. Southerly advection and dew-point values near 12–14 °C limit further cooling, though small disagreements in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the observed spread across adjacent outcomes. Official DWD station data and the final 00 UTC model suite on the 8th will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
Lowest temperature in Munich on September 8?
17°C 49%
12°C or below 47%
18°C 35%
14°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
47%
13°C
27%
14°C
29%
15°C
25%
16°C
24%
17°C
49%
18°C
35%
19°C
6%
20°C
7%
21°C
2%
22°C or higher
7%
17°C 49%
12°C or below 47%
18°C 35%
14°C 29%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 8, 2026
12°C or below
$2 ปริมาณ
47%
13°C
$0 ปริมาณ
27%
14°C
$0 ปริมาณ
29%
15°C
$158 ปริมาณ
25%
16°C
$157 ปริมาณ
24%
17°C
$0 ปริมาณ
49%
18°C
$0 ปริมาณ
35%
19°C
$0 ปริมาณ
6%
20°C
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
2%
22°C or higher
$0 ปริมาณ
7%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Munich’s September 8 minimum will likely fall between 12–16 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 12 °C or below (41 %) and the 13–14 °C bins (28–30 %), reflecting model consensus around the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1 °C while noting a current warm anomaly. Southerly advection and dew-point values near 12–14 °C limit further cooling, though small disagreements in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the observed spread across adjacent outcomes. Official DWD station data and the final 00 UTC model suite on the 8th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$317วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast runs from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Munich’s September 8 minimum will likely fall between 12–16 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 12 °C or below (41 %) and the 13–14 °C bins (28–30 %), reflecting model consensus around the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1 °C while noting a current warm anomaly. Southerly advection and dew-point values near 12–14 °C limit further cooling, though small disagreements in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the observed spread across adjacent outcomes. Official DWD station data and the final 00 UTC model suite on the 8th will determine resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$317วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 8, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 6, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast runs from DWD, ECMWF, and GFS models indicate Munich’s September 8 minimum will likely fall between 12–16 °C, driven by clear to partly cloudy skies overnight allowing moderate radiative cooling under light southwesterly flow. This aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 12 °C or below (41 %) and the 13–14 °C bins (28–30 %), reflecting model consensus around the 1991–2020 climatological average low of 11.1 °C while noting a current warm anomaly. Southerly advection and dew-point values near 12–14 °C limit further cooling, though small disagreements in boundary-layer mixing and cloud timing create the observed spread across adjacent outcomes. Official DWD station data and the final 00 UTC model suite on the 8th will determine resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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