**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France-aligned services and international ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature of approximately 17°C for Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Overnight lows are expected to stabilize near 16–18°C as the region remains under a mild, humid air mass with dew points around 15–17°C. This setup contrasts with the long-term climatological average low of ~13.6°C for the date, reflecting broader late-summer warmth and a lack of clear skies that would otherwise allow temperatures to fall further. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with only minor variations tied to exact precipitation timing or wind shifts. These conditions position 17°C as the modal outcome in trader assessments, followed closely by 18°C and 19°C, while probabilities for 16°C or below remain lower absent any late-model cooling signals. Updated forecasts or higher-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Paris on August 28?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 28?
17°C 42%
18°C 28%
16°C 22%
19°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
1%
13°C
3%
14°C
3%
15°C
5%
16°C
22%
17°C
42%
18°C
28%
19°C
14%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 42%
18°C 28%
16°C 22%
19°C 14%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Aug 28, 2026
12°C or below
$78 ปริมาณ
1%
13°C
$63 ปริมาณ
3%
14°C
$36 ปริมาณ
3%
15°C
$109 ปริมาณ
5%
16°C
$279 ปริมาณ
22%
17°C
$453 ปริมาณ
42%
18°C
$201 ปริมาณ
28%
19°C
$130 ปริมาณ
14%
20°C
$74 ปริมาณ
1%
21°C
$79 ปริมาณ
1%
22°C or higher
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France-aligned services and international ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature of approximately 17°C for Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.**
Overnight lows are expected to stabilize near 16–18°C as the region remains under a mild, humid air mass with dew points around 15–17°C. This setup contrasts with the long-term climatological average low of ~13.6°C for the date, reflecting broader late-summer warmth and a lack of clear skies that would otherwise allow temperatures to fall further. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with only minor variations tied to exact precipitation timing or wind shifts.
These conditions position 17°C as the modal outcome in trader assessments, followed closely by 18°C and 19°C, while probabilities for 16°C or below remain lower absent any late-model cooling signals. Updated forecasts or higher-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,517วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France-aligned services and international ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature of approximately 17°C for Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.**
Overnight lows are expected to stabilize near 16–18°C as the region remains under a mild, humid air mass with dew points around 15–17°C. This setup contrasts with the long-term climatological average low of ~13.6°C for the date, reflecting broader late-summer warmth and a lack of clear skies that would otherwise allow temperatures to fall further. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with only minor variations tied to exact precipitation timing or wind shifts.
These conditions position 17°C as the modal outcome in trader assessments, followed closely by 18°C and 19°C, while probabilities for 16°C or below remain lower absent any late-model cooling signals. Updated forecasts or higher-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$1,517วันสิ้นสุด
Aug 28, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 26, 2026, 12:29 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models from sources including Météo-France-aligned services and international ensembles (GFS/ECMWF) indicate a minimum temperature of approximately 17°C for Paris on August 28, 2026, driven by persistent cloud cover, light rain or thunderstorms, and moderate southwesterly winds that limit nocturnal radiative cooling.** Overnight lows are expected to stabilize near 16–18°C as the region remains under a mild, humid air mass with dew points around 15–17°C. This setup contrasts with the long-term climatological average low of ~13.6°C for the date, reflecting broader late-summer warmth and a lack of clear skies that would otherwise allow temperatures to fall further. Recent model runs show little disagreement on this range, with only minor variations tied to exact precipitation timing or wind shifts. These conditions position 17°C as the modal outcome in trader assessments, followed closely by 18°C and 19°C, while probabilities for 16°C or below remain lower absent any late-model cooling signals. Updated forecasts or higher-resolution runs ahead of the overnight period represent the key near-term variables that could refine these market-implied odds.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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