**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on September 16 around 22–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This reflects typical early autumn coastal conditions moderated by the Yellow Sea, with limited overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus, however, centers on 18°C (55% implied probability) and 16–17°C options (each near 45%), suggesting positioning around potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm or if localized effects at the official station lower readings below model consensus. Higher outcomes above 19°C carry negligible odds under 1%, consistent with the warm daytime peak near 28–29°C and absence of cold-air advection. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact daily minimum as the calendar day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
Lowest temperature in Qingdao on September 16?
16°C or below 90%
17°C 90%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
16°C or below
90%
17°C
90%
18°C
-
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C or higher
<1%
16°C or below 90%
17°C 90%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 16, 2026
16°C or below
$0 ปริมาณ
90%
17°C
$10 ปริมาณ
90%
18°C
$76 ปริมาณ
-
19°C
$146 ปริมาณ
<1%
20°C
$154 ปริมาณ
<1%
21°C
$37 ปริมาณ
<1%
22°C
$10 ปริมาณ
<1%
23°C
$15 ปริมาณ
<1%
24°C
$42 ปริมาณ
<1%
25°C
$42 ปริมาณ
<1%
26°C or higher
$42 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on September 16 around 22–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This reflects typical early autumn coastal conditions moderated by the Yellow Sea, with limited overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus, however, centers on 18°C (55% implied probability) and 16–17°C options (each near 45%), suggesting positioning around potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm or if localized effects at the official station lower readings below model consensus. Higher outcomes above 19°C carry negligible odds under 1%, consistent with the warm daytime peak near 28–29°C and absence of cold-air advection. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact daily minimum as the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$573วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on September 16 around 22–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This reflects typical early autumn coastal conditions moderated by the Yellow Sea, with limited overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus, however, centers on 18°C (55% implied probability) and 16–17°C options (each near 45%), suggesting positioning around potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm or if localized effects at the official station lower readings below model consensus. Higher outcomes above 19°C carry negligible odds under 1%, consistent with the warm daytime peak near 28–29°C and absence of cold-air advection. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact daily minimum as the calendar day concludes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$573วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 16, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 14, 2026, 12:31 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature for Qingdao on September 16 around 22–24°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light southerly winds, and moderate humidity.** This reflects typical early autumn coastal conditions moderated by the Yellow Sea, with limited overnight radiative cooling. Trader consensus, however, centers on 18°C (55% implied probability) and 16–17°C options (each near 45%), suggesting positioning around potential for slightly stronger cooling if winds remain calm or if localized effects at the official station lower readings below model consensus. Higher outcomes above 19°C carry negligible odds under 1%, consistent with the warm daytime peak near 28–29°C and absence of cold-air advection. Upcoming hourly updates from agencies like the China Meteorological Administration will refine the exact daily minimum as the calendar day concludes.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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