Recent cooler air advection from northern high-pressure systems has positioned trader consensus around a 16–18°C minimum for Incheon on September 10, with 17°C holding the strongest implied probability. Official KMA guidance and multiple model runs indicate overnight lows near 16°C under mostly clear skies that favor radiative cooling, following a 2–4°C drop in daytime maxima already observed on September 9. Northeasterly flow and elevated pressure (around 1020 hPa) suppress cloud cover and moisture, widening the diurnal range consistent with early-autumn climatology. Any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher, but current observations and short-range forecasts keep 17°C as the modal outcome ahead of final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 10?
17°C 49%
18°C 24%
16°C 19%
19°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
19%
17°C
49%
18°C
24%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
17°C 49%
18°C 24%
16°C 19%
19°C 8%
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
19%
17°C
49%
18°C
24%
19°C
8%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Recent cooler air advection from northern high-pressure systems has positioned trader consensus around a 16–18°C minimum for Incheon on September 10, with 17°C holding the strongest implied probability. Official KMA guidance and multiple model runs indicate overnight lows near 16°C under mostly clear skies that favor radiative cooling, following a 2–4°C drop in daytime maxima already observed on September 9. Northeasterly flow and elevated pressure (around 1020 hPa) suppress cloud cover and moisture, widening the diurnal range consistent with early-autumn climatology. Any last-minute increase in low-level moisture or wind could nudge the minimum slightly higher, but current observations and short-range forecasts keep 17°C as the modal outcome ahead of final verification.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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