Current forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light variable winds under 5 m/s, and radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs around 30–32°C. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where dew points near 18–21°C limit further cooling unless unexpected cloud cover or a stronger land breeze develops. Trader consensus around 23°C and 24°C outcomes reflects this model agreement, while the notable 29.5% implied probability on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations through the night will refine the precise threshold before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Tel Aviv on September 10?
19°C or below 54%
24°C 31%
23°C 31%
25°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
54%
20°C
16%
21°C
11%
22°C
21%
23°C
31%
24°C
31%
25°C
22%
26°C
13%
27°C
18%
28°C
17%
29°C or higher
9%
19°C or below 54%
24°C 31%
23°C 31%
25°C 22%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Sep 10, 2026
19°C or below
$100 ปริมาณ
54%
20°C
$110 ปริมาณ
16%
21°C
$10 ปริมาณ
11%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
21%
23°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
24°C
$0 ปริมาณ
31%
25°C
$0 ปริมาณ
22%
26°C
$10 ปริมาณ
13%
27°C
$35 ปริมาณ
18%
28°C
$60 ปริมาณ
17%
29°C or higher
$49 ปริมาณ
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light variable winds under 5 m/s, and radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs around 30–32°C. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where dew points near 18–21°C limit further cooling unless unexpected cloud cover or a stronger land breeze develops. Trader consensus around 23°C and 24°C outcomes reflects this model agreement, while the notable 29.5% implied probability on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations through the night will refine the precise threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$374วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light variable winds under 5 m/s, and radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs around 30–32°C. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where dew points near 18–21°C limit further cooling unless unexpected cloud cover or a stronger land breeze develops. Trader consensus around 23°C and 24°C outcomes reflects this model agreement, while the notable 29.5% implied probability on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations through the night will refine the precise threshold before market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$374วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 10, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from agencies including the Israel Meteorological Service and global ensembles point to a minimum temperature near 23–24°C in Tel Aviv on September 10, driven by clear skies, light variable winds under 5 m/s, and radiative cooling overnight following daytime highs around 30–32°C. These conditions align with typical late-summer Mediterranean patterns, where dew points near 18–21°C limit further cooling unless unexpected cloud cover or a stronger land breeze develops. Trader consensus around 23°C and 24°C outcomes reflects this model agreement, while the notable 29.5% implied probability on 19°C or below captures residual uncertainty from ensemble spread in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of the nocturnal minimum. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations through the night will refine the precise threshold before market resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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