The April 2026 employment report, released on May 8, serves as the dominant driver of current market-implied odds for the May unemployment rate, with the headline rate holding steady at 4.3 percent alongside a 115,000 nonfarm payroll gain that exceeded consensus estimates. This outcome reflected continued labor-market resilience amid a shrinking labor force and declining participation rate, which reached its lowest level since late 2021 and helped anchor the jobless rate despite softer household employment figures. Traders appear evenly split between 4.3 percent and 4.4 percent outcomes because modest job gains in health care and retail, combined with ongoing federal employment declines, leave room for either stability or a modest uptick in May. The next key data point arrives with the May employment report on June 5, which will incorporate any further shifts in labor-force dynamics or wage pressures ahead of potential Federal Reserve policy signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วMay Unemployment Rate
May Unemployment Rate
4.3% 38%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 16%
4.5% 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 5, 2026
≤3.9%
3%
4.0%
8%
4.1%
10%
4.2%
22%
4.3%
38%
4.4%
34%
4.5%
11%
4.6%
4%
≥4.7%
4%
4.3% 38%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 16%
4.5% 11%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 5, 2026
≤3.9%
$46 ปริมาณ
3%
4.0%
$73 ปริมาณ
8%
4.1%
$45 ปริมาณ
10%
4.2%
$38 ปริมาณ
22%
4.3%
$107 ปริมาณ
38%
4.4%
$54 ปริมาณ
34%
4.5%
$50 ปริมาณ
11%
4.6%
$45 ปริมาณ
4%
≥4.7%
$52 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The April 2026 employment report, released on May 8, serves as the dominant driver of current market-implied odds for the May unemployment rate, with the headline rate holding steady at 4.3 percent alongside a 115,000 nonfarm payroll gain that exceeded consensus estimates. This outcome reflected continued labor-market resilience amid a shrinking labor force and declining participation rate, which reached its lowest level since late 2021 and helped anchor the jobless rate despite softer household employment figures. Traders appear evenly split between 4.3 percent and 4.4 percent outcomes because modest job gains in health care and retail, combined with ongoing federal employment declines, leave room for either stability or a modest uptick in May. The next key data point arrives with the May employment report on June 5, which will incorporate any further shifts in labor-force dynamics or wage pressures ahead of potential Federal Reserve policy signals.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$511วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.The April 2026 employment report, released on May 8, serves as the dominant driver of current market-implied odds for the May unemployment rate, with the headline rate holding steady at 4.3 percent alongside a 115,000 nonfarm payroll gain that exceeded consensus estimates. This outcome reflected continued labor-market resilience amid a shrinking labor force and declining participation rate, which reached its lowest level since late 2021 and helped anchor the jobless rate despite softer household employment figures. Traders appear evenly split between 4.3 percent and 4.4 percent outcomes because modest job gains in health care and retail, combined with ongoing federal employment declines, leave room for either stability or a modest uptick in May. The next key data point arrives with the May employment report on June 5, which will incorporate any further shifts in labor-force dynamics or wage pressures ahead of potential Federal Reserve policy signals.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$511วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The April 2026 employment report, released on May 8, serves as the dominant driver of current market-implied odds for the May unemployment rate, with the headline rate holding steady at 4.3 percent alongside a 115,000 nonfarm payroll gain that exceeded consensus estimates. This outcome reflected continued labor-market resilience amid a shrinking labor force and declining participation rate, which reached its lowest level since late 2021 and helped anchor the jobless rate despite softer household employment figures. Traders appear evenly split between 4.3 percent and 4.4 percent outcomes because modest job gains in health care and retail, combined with ongoing federal employment declines, leave room for either stability or a modest uptick in May. The next key data point arrives with the May employment report on June 5, which will incorporate any further shifts in labor-force dynamics or wage pressures ahead of potential Federal Reserve policy signals.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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