Speaker Mike Johnson’s position remains tied to the narrow Republican House majority ahead of the November 2026 midterms. Recent polling shows Democrats leading the generic congressional ballot, consistent with expectations that a shift in control would end Johnson’s tenure at the start of the 120th Congress. Within the GOP conference, hard-line members including Marjorie Taylor Greene and Thomas Massie have kept a motion to vacate active as leverage over legislative priorities, though Democratic leaders have signaled they would back Johnson against any immediate removal effort. Johnson has focused on defending vulnerable seats through an extensive campaign schedule across 22 states while managing internal divisions and procedural challenges during the final weeks before the election. A lame-duck session would follow the vote count, with leadership questions deferred until the new majority organizes.