European governments, particularly Germany, maintain firm policies to phase out Russian natural gas imports entirely by the end of 2027, reinforced by EU sanctions packages and a strategic shift toward diversified LNG and alternative suppliers following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The Nord Stream pipelines remain largely inoperable due to 2022 sabotage damage—leaving only one Nord Stream 2 line potentially intact—combined with permitting barriers, operator sanctions, and environmental remediation requirements that have stalled any reactivation. Recent statements, including Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 call for Berlin to approve flows immediately, have produced no policy reversal amid continued European resistance to renewed dependence. These structural and political constraints underpin trader consensus that restart before 2027 faces prohibitive hurdles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว$148,565 ปริมาณ
$148,565 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
$148,565 ปริมาณ
$148,565 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
European governments, particularly Germany, maintain firm policies to phase out Russian natural gas imports entirely by the end of 2027, reinforced by EU sanctions packages and a strategic shift toward diversified LNG and alternative suppliers following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The Nord Stream pipelines remain largely inoperable due to 2022 sabotage damage—leaving only one Nord Stream 2 line potentially intact—combined with permitting barriers, operator sanctions, and environmental remediation requirements that have stalled any reactivation. Recent statements, including Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 call for Berlin to approve flows immediately, have produced no policy reversal amid continued European resistance to renewed dependence. These structural and political constraints underpin trader consensus that restart before 2027 faces prohibitive hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$148,565วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
European governments, particularly Germany, maintain firm policies to phase out Russian natural gas imports entirely by the end of 2027, reinforced by EU sanctions packages and a strategic shift toward diversified LNG and alternative suppliers following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The Nord Stream pipelines remain largely inoperable due to 2022 sabotage damage—leaving only one Nord Stream 2 line potentially intact—combined with permitting barriers, operator sanctions, and environmental remediation requirements that have stalled any reactivation. Recent statements, including Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 call for Berlin to approve flows immediately, have produced no policy reversal amid continued European resistance to renewed dependence. These structural and political constraints underpin trader consensus that restart before 2027 faces prohibitive hurdles.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any line of either Nord Stream 1 or Nord Stream 2 delivers natural gas to Germany or any EU member state in commercial quantities at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
"Commercial quantities" refers to sustained, measurable flows of gas intended for end-user distribution. Test flows, pressure tests, or symbolic gas transfers not tied to actual supply operations will not count.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$148,565วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Nov 5, 2025, 2:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...European governments, particularly Germany, maintain firm policies to phase out Russian natural gas imports entirely by the end of 2027, reinforced by EU sanctions packages and a strategic shift toward diversified LNG and alternative suppliers following the 2022 invasion of Ukraine. The Nord Stream pipelines remain largely inoperable due to 2022 sabotage damage—leaving only one Nord Stream 2 line potentially intact—combined with permitting barriers, operator sanctions, and environmental remediation requirements that have stalled any reactivation. Recent statements, including Vladimir Putin’s June 2026 call for Berlin to approve flows immediately, have produced no policy reversal amid continued European resistance to renewed dependence. These structural and political constraints underpin trader consensus that restart before 2027 faces prohibitive hurdles.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย