Traders assign a 98% implied probability to no change in the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate during May, reflecting the central bank's steady policy stance amid resilient first-quarter 2026 GDP expansion of 5% year-over-year and April's decision to hold one-year and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for an eleventh consecutive month. Moderately loose monetary conditions continue to support ample liquidity and low borrowing costs, with March inflation at 1.0% providing little impetus for immediate adjustment. This consensus aligns with the PBOC's recent emphasis on calibrated, flexible tools rather than broad rate shifts. Potential disruptions could arise from a sharper growth slowdown tied to imported inflation pressures or weaker April data ahead of the May 19 decision and late-month loan prime rate review.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วPeople's Bank of China rate change in May?
People's Bank of China rate change in May?
No Change 98.0%
Decrease 2.0%
Increase <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
Increase
<1%
No Change
98%
Decrease
2%
No Change 98.0%
Decrease 2.0%
Increase <1%
ใหม่
ใหม่
May 31, 2026
Increase
$1,458 ปริมาณ
<1%
No Change
$2,005 ปริมาณ
98%
Decrease
$1,035 ปริมาณ
2%
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders assign a 98% implied probability to no change in the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate during May, reflecting the central bank's steady policy stance amid resilient first-quarter 2026 GDP expansion of 5% year-over-year and April's decision to hold one-year and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for an eleventh consecutive month. Moderately loose monetary conditions continue to support ample liquidity and low borrowing costs, with March inflation at 1.0% providing little impetus for immediate adjustment. This consensus aligns with the PBOC's recent emphasis on calibrated, flexible tools rather than broad rate shifts. Potential disruptions could arise from a sharper growth slowdown tied to imported inflation pressures or weaker April data ahead of the May 19 decision and late-month loan prime rate review.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,499วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.Traders assign a 98% implied probability to no change in the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate during May, reflecting the central bank's steady policy stance amid resilient first-quarter 2026 GDP expansion of 5% year-over-year and April's decision to hold one-year and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for an eleventh consecutive month. Moderately loose monetary conditions continue to support ample liquidity and low borrowing costs, with March inflation at 1.0% providing little impetus for immediate adjustment. This consensus aligns with the PBOC's recent emphasis on calibrated, flexible tools rather than broad rate shifts. Potential disruptions could arise from a sharper growth slowdown tied to imported inflation pressures or weaker April data ahead of the May 19 decision and late-month loan prime rate review.
This market will resolve according to the first change made to the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) 7-day reverse repo rate between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time (CST).
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
An “increase” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level higher than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
A “decrease” refers to any change in the 7-day reverse repo rate to a level lower than the most recent effective 7-day reverse repo rate.
If the People’s Bank of China does not change the 7-day reverse repo rate by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM China Standard Time, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket.
An official announcement of a change to the PBoC 7-day Reverse Repo Rate within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market, regardless of when the rate change is stated to go into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the People’s Bank of China, including PBoC Open Market Operations announcements (https://www.pbc.gov.cn/en/3688110/3688181/index.html); however, a consensus of credible reporting on a change to the 7-day reverse repo rate may also be used.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$4,499วันสิ้นสุด
May 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign a 98% implied probability to no change in the People's Bank of China's 7-day reverse repo rate during May, reflecting the central bank's steady policy stance amid resilient first-quarter 2026 GDP expansion of 5% year-over-year and April's decision to hold one-year and five-year loan prime rates steady at 3.0% and 3.5% for an eleventh consecutive month. Moderately loose monetary conditions continue to support ample liquidity and low borrowing costs, with March inflation at 1.0% providing little impetus for immediate adjustment. This consensus aligns with the PBOC's recent emphasis on calibrated, flexible tools rather than broad rate shifts. Potential disruptions could arise from a sharper growth slowdown tied to imported inflation pressures or weaker April data ahead of the May 19 decision and late-month loan prime rate review.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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