**Trader consensus on the Quebec general election turnout market, scheduled for October 5, 2026, places the highest probability (44%) on turnout below 58%, with the remaining bins from 58-74%+ each in the low-to-mid 20s.** This positioning reflects Quebec’s long-term decline in participation rates, most recently 66.15% in the 2022 election and 66.45% in 2018, alongside consistently low turnout in recent by-elections ranging from the low 30s to around 60%. The campaign, called on August 27 with roughly 6.4 million registered electors on a new 127-riding map, features a fragmented multi-party contest. Polling shows the Parti Québécois leading but short of a majority, with the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire all competitive in key regions. This dynamic can both mobilize core supporters and contribute to voter fatigue amid priorities like healthcare, cost of living, and sovereignty questions. Expanded advance voting periods (September 27–28 and earlier options at returning officers’ offices) and registration drives may lift early participation, yet historical patterns and recent low by-election figures support expectations of overall moderation rather than a rebound toward prior decades’ higher rates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว<58% 44%
70-74% 26%
74%+ 26%
58-62% 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
44%
58-62%
25%
62-66%
24%
66-70%
24%
70-74%
26%
74%+
26%
<58% 44%
70-74% 26%
74%+ 26%
58-62% 25%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Oct 5, 2026
<58%
$20 ปริมาณ
44%
58-62%
$0 ปริมาณ
25%
62-66%
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
66-70%
$0 ปริมาณ
24%
70-74%
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
74%+
$0 ปริมาณ
26%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Trader consensus on the Quebec general election turnout market, scheduled for October 5, 2026, places the highest probability (44%) on turnout below 58%, with the remaining bins from 58-74%+ each in the low-to-mid 20s.** This positioning reflects Quebec’s long-term decline in participation rates, most recently 66.15% in the 2022 election and 66.45% in 2018, alongside consistently low turnout in recent by-elections ranging from the low 30s to around 60%.
The campaign, called on August 27 with roughly 6.4 million registered electors on a new 127-riding map, features a fragmented multi-party contest. Polling shows the Parti Québécois leading but short of a majority, with the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire all competitive in key regions. This dynamic can both mobilize core supporters and contribute to voter fatigue amid priorities like healthcare, cost of living, and sovereignty questions. Expanded advance voting periods (September 27–28 and earlier options at returning officers’ offices) and registration drives may lift early participation, yet historical patterns and recent low by-election figures support expectations of overall moderation rather than a rebound toward prior decades’ higher rates.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Trader consensus on the Quebec general election turnout market, scheduled for October 5, 2026, places the highest probability (44%) on turnout below 58%, with the remaining bins from 58-74%+ each in the low-to-mid 20s.** This positioning reflects Quebec’s long-term decline in participation rates, most recently 66.15% in the 2022 election and 66.45% in 2018, alongside consistently low turnout in recent by-elections ranging from the low 30s to around 60%.
The campaign, called on August 27 with roughly 6.4 million registered electors on a new 127-riding map, features a fragmented multi-party contest. Polling shows the Parti Québécois leading but short of a majority, with the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire all competitive in key regions. This dynamic can both mobilize core supporters and contribute to voter fatigue amid priorities like healthcare, cost of living, and sovereignty questions. Expanded advance voting periods (September 27–28 and earlier options at returning officers’ offices) and registration drives may lift early participation, yet historical patterns and recent low by-election figures support expectations of overall moderation rather than a rebound toward prior decades’ higher rates.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the next Quebec general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/en/results-and-statistics/general-election-results/2022-10-03/).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20วันสิ้นสุด
Oct 5, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Aug 31, 2026, 3:10 PM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus on the Quebec general election turnout market, scheduled for October 5, 2026, places the highest probability (44%) on turnout below 58%, with the remaining bins from 58-74%+ each in the low-to-mid 20s.** This positioning reflects Quebec’s long-term decline in participation rates, most recently 66.15% in the 2022 election and 66.45% in 2018, alongside consistently low turnout in recent by-elections ranging from the low 30s to around 60%. The campaign, called on August 27 with roughly 6.4 million registered electors on a new 127-riding map, features a fragmented multi-party contest. Polling shows the Parti Québécois leading but short of a majority, with the Coalition Avenir Québec, Liberals, Conservatives, and Québec solidaire all competitive in key regions. This dynamic can both mobilize core supporters and contribute to voter fatigue amid priorities like healthcare, cost of living, and sovereignty questions. Expanded advance voting periods (September 27–28 and earlier options at returning officers’ offices) and registration drives may lift early participation, yet historical patterns and recent low by-election figures support expectations of overall moderation rather than a rebound toward prior decades’ higher rates.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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