Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections place the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) third with roughly 8.9 percent of the federal party-list vote, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) but ahead of New People and A Just Russia – For Truth. This positioning aligns with LDPR's established regional networks, nationalist platform, and consistent mid-teens polling in several pre-election surveys, while New People's support proved softer than some VCIOM readings suggested. Traders assign LDPR a 97.6 percent implied probability for third place on the basis of these certified trends and the five-percent threshold mechanics. Late adjustments from remaining single-mandate districts or final electronic-vote tallies could theoretically alter seat totals, though current margins make a shift in ranking improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 98.3%
New People (NL) 1.8%
United Russia (ER) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$250,730 ปริมาณ
$250,730 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
98%
New People (NL)
2%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
Yabloko
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 98.3%
New People (NL) 1.8%
United Russia (ER) <1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) <1%
$250,730 ปริมาณ
$250,730 ปริมาณ
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$79,085 ปริมาณ
98%
New People (NL)
$83,583 ปริมาณ
2%
United Russia (ER)
$7,726 ปริมาณ
<1%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$39,032 ปริมาณ
<1%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$20,954 ปริมาณ
<1%
Rodina
$4,019 ปริมาณ
<1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,593 ปริมาณ
<1%
Yabloko
$13,737 ปริมาณ
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections place the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) third with roughly 8.9 percent of the federal party-list vote, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) but ahead of New People and A Just Russia – For Truth. This positioning aligns with LDPR's established regional networks, nationalist platform, and consistent mid-teens polling in several pre-election surveys, while New People's support proved softer than some VCIOM readings suggested. Traders assign LDPR a 97.6 percent implied probability for third place on the basis of these certified trends and the five-percent threshold mechanics. Late adjustments from remaining single-mandate districts or final electronic-vote tallies could theoretically alter seat totals, though current margins make a shift in ranking improbable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$250,730วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections place the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) third with roughly 8.9 percent of the federal party-list vote, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) but ahead of New People and A Just Russia – For Truth. This positioning aligns with LDPR's established regional networks, nationalist platform, and consistent mid-teens polling in several pre-election surveys, while New People's support proved softer than some VCIOM readings suggested. Traders assign LDPR a 97.6 percent implied probability for third place on the basis of these certified trends and the five-percent threshold mechanics. Late adjustments from remaining single-mandate districts or final electronic-vote tallies could theoretically alter seat totals, though current margins make a shift in ranking improbable.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$250,730วันสิ้นสุด
Sep 20, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20, 2026, State Duma elections place the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) third with roughly 8.9 percent of the federal party-list vote, behind United Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) but ahead of New People and A Just Russia – For Truth. This positioning aligns with LDPR's established regional networks, nationalist platform, and consistent mid-teens polling in several pre-election surveys, while New People's support proved softer than some VCIOM readings suggested. Traders assign LDPR a 97.6 percent implied probability for third place on the basis of these certified trends and the five-percent threshold mechanics. Late adjustments from remaining single-mandate districts or final electronic-vote tallies could theoretically alter seat totals, though current margins make a shift in ranking improbable.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วที่เกี่ยวข้อง
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
98%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
100%
พรรครัสเซียรวมชาติ (ER) จะชนะที่นั่งมากที่สุดในการเลือกตั้งรัฐสภารัสเซียครั้งหน้าหรือไม่?
100%
ใช่
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย