Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) persists in a military stalemate into its fourth year, with no nationwide ceasefire achieved despite repeated diplomatic initiatives. Recent analyses highlight failed peace efforts, including UN and Quad (US, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE)-mediated truces that collapsed amid mutual violations, as underscored in mid-May 2026 reporting. Frontlines remain largely frozen following SAF's recapture of Al-Keili, while RSF internal fractures emerge with reported defections to SAF leadership. The April 14 three-year anniversary prompted Berlin talks and renewed UN ceasefire calls, but escalating humanitarian crises—over 19 million facing acute hunger—underscore barriers. Traders eye upcoming indirect negotiations in Cairo and potential US pressure, though historical patterns of tactical truces temper expectations for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วSudan civil war ceasefire by...?
Sudan civil war ceasefire by...?
$92,656 ปริมาณ
Jun 30, 2026
June 30, 2026
10%
December 31, 2026
17%
$92,656 ปริมาณ
June 30, 2026
$33,217 ปริมาณ
10%
December 31, 2026
$291 ปริมาณ
17%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) persists in a military stalemate into its fourth year, with no nationwide ceasefire achieved despite repeated diplomatic initiatives. Recent analyses highlight failed peace efforts, including UN and Quad (US, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE)-mediated truces that collapsed amid mutual violations, as underscored in mid-May 2026 reporting. Frontlines remain largely frozen following SAF's recapture of Al-Keili, while RSF internal fractures emerge with reported defections to SAF leadership. The April 14 three-year anniversary prompted Berlin talks and renewed UN ceasefire calls, but escalating humanitarian crises—over 19 million facing acute hunger—underscore barriers. Traders eye upcoming indirect negotiations in Cairo and potential US pressure, though historical patterns of tactical truces temper expectations for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,656วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) persists in a military stalemate into its fourth year, with no nationwide ceasefire achieved despite repeated diplomatic initiatives. Recent analyses highlight failed peace efforts, including UN and Quad (US, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE)-mediated truces that collapsed amid mutual violations, as underscored in mid-May 2026 reporting. Frontlines remain largely frozen following SAF's recapture of Al-Keili, while RSF internal fractures emerge with reported defections to SAF leadership. The April 14 three-year anniversary prompted Berlin talks and renewed UN ceasefire calls, but escalating humanitarian crises—over 19 million facing acute hunger—underscore barriers. Traders eye upcoming indirect negotiations in Cairo and potential US pressure, though historical patterns of tactical truces temper expectations for resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is an official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, between the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) and the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
If the agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes," regardless of whether the ceasefire officially starts afterward.
Any form of informal agreement will not be considered an official ceasefire. Humanitarian pauses will not count toward the resolution of this market.
A peace deal or political framework will qualify if it includes a publicly announced and mutually agreed halt in military engagement, effective on a specific date. Frameworks or agreements that outline terms for a future peace but do not include an explicit, dated commitment to stop fighting will not count.
This market's resolution will be based on official announcements from both the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces; however, a wide consensus of credible media reporting stating an official ceasefire agreement between the Rapid Support Forces and the Sudanese Armed Forces has been reached will suffice.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$92,656วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Dec 22, 2025, 2:08 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Sudan's civil war between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and Rapid Support Forces (RSF) persists in a military stalemate into its fourth year, with no nationwide ceasefire achieved despite repeated diplomatic initiatives. Recent analyses highlight failed peace efforts, including UN and Quad (US, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, UAE)-mediated truces that collapsed amid mutual violations, as underscored in mid-May 2026 reporting. Frontlines remain largely frozen following SAF's recapture of Al-Keili, while RSF internal fractures emerge with reported defections to SAF leadership. The April 14 three-year anniversary prompted Berlin talks and renewed UN ceasefire calls, but escalating humanitarian crises—over 19 million facing acute hunger—underscore barriers. Traders eye upcoming indirect negotiations in Cairo and potential US pressure, though historical patterns of tactical truces temper expectations for resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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