U.S. officials have ordered repeated partial departures of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy since February 2026 amid heightened security risks tied to the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and regional tensions involving Iran. The State Department has suspended routine consular services, issued multiple travel alerts urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights, and closed the embassy to routine operations while stressing that any full evacuation would not rely on U.S. government assistance. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Lebanese and Israeli delegations, including recent rounds in July, have produced framework agreements on withdrawals and disarmament but face persistent objections from Hezbollah and sporadic strikes. Trader assessments of a full embassy evacuation by a target date reflect these volatile diplomatic and military dynamics, with resolution hinging on whether security conditions deteriorate further before any de-escalation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$117,489 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
4%
$117,489 ปริมาณ
December 31
$23,387 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. U.S. officials have ordered repeated partial departures of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy since February 2026 amid heightened security risks tied to the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and regional tensions involving Iran. The State Department has suspended routine consular services, issued multiple travel alerts urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights, and closed the embassy to routine operations while stressing that any full evacuation would not rely on U.S. government assistance. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Lebanese and Israeli delegations, including recent rounds in July, have produced framework agreements on withdrawals and disarmament but face persistent objections from Hezbollah and sporadic strikes. Trader assessments of a full embassy evacuation by a target date reflect these volatile diplomatic and military dynamics, with resolution hinging on whether security conditions deteriorate further before any de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,489วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. U.S. officials have ordered repeated partial departures of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy since February 2026 amid heightened security risks tied to the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and regional tensions involving Iran. The State Department has suspended routine consular services, issued multiple travel alerts urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights, and closed the embassy to routine operations while stressing that any full evacuation would not rely on U.S. government assistance. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Lebanese and Israeli delegations, including recent rounds in July, have produced framework agreements on withdrawals and disarmament but face persistent objections from Hezbollah and sporadic strikes. Trader assessments of a full embassy evacuation by a target date reflect these volatile diplomatic and military dynamics, with resolution hinging on whether security conditions deteriorate further before any de-escalation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,489วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...U.S. officials have ordered repeated partial departures of non-emergency personnel and family members from the Beirut embassy since February 2026 amid heightened security risks tied to the Israel-Hezbollah conflict and regional tensions involving Iran. The State Department has suspended routine consular services, issued multiple travel alerts urging American citizens to depart via commercial flights, and closed the embassy to routine operations while stressing that any full evacuation would not rely on U.S. government assistance. Ongoing U.S.-brokered talks between Lebanese and Israeli delegations, including recent rounds in July, have produced framework agreements on withdrawals and disarmament but face persistent objections from Hezbollah and sporadic strikes. Trader assessments of a full embassy evacuation by a target date reflect these volatile diplomatic and military dynamics, with resolution hinging on whether security conditions deteriorate further before any de-escalation.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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