Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and Hezbollah operations in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. A February 2026 partial drawdown of non-essential embassy staff and family members followed State Department orders amid anticipated escalations, while April and August 2026 alerts urged U.S. citizens to depart and highlighted risks of unforeseen attacks or rapid changes in the security environment. These steps reflect standard precautionary measures during periods of volatility without indicating full embassy closure. Key variables for traders include any further official drawdown orders, shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Hezbollah dynamics, and scheduled diplomatic or military developments that could either sustain or ease pressures on American personnel in Lebanon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$117,779 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
4%
$117,779 ปริมาณ
December 31
$23,677 ปริมาณ
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and Hezbollah operations in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. A February 2026 partial drawdown of non-essential embassy staff and family members followed State Department orders amid anticipated escalations, while April and August 2026 alerts urged U.S. citizens to depart and highlighted risks of unforeseen attacks or rapid changes in the security environment. These steps reflect standard precautionary measures during periods of volatility without indicating full embassy closure. Key variables for traders include any further official drawdown orders, shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Hezbollah dynamics, and scheduled diplomatic or military developments that could either sustain or ease pressures on American personnel in Lebanon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,779วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and Hezbollah operations in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. A February 2026 partial drawdown of non-essential embassy staff and family members followed State Department orders amid anticipated escalations, while April and August 2026 alerts urged U.S. citizens to depart and highlighted risks of unforeseen attacks or rapid changes in the security environment. These steps reflect standard precautionary measures during periods of volatility without indicating full embassy closure. Key variables for traders include any further official drawdown orders, shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Hezbollah dynamics, and scheduled diplomatic or military developments that could either sustain or ease pressures on American personnel in Lebanon.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$117,779วันสิ้นสุด
Dec 31, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing regional tensions in the Middle East, particularly involving Iran and Hezbollah operations in Lebanon, continue to shape assessments of U.S. diplomatic posture in Beirut. A February 2026 partial drawdown of non-essential embassy staff and family members followed State Department orders amid anticipated escalations, while April and August 2026 alerts urged U.S. citizens to depart and highlighted risks of unforeseen attacks or rapid changes in the security environment. These steps reflect standard precautionary measures during periods of volatility without indicating full embassy closure. Key variables for traders include any further official drawdown orders, shifts in U.S.-Iran or Israel-Hezbollah dynamics, and scheduled diplomatic or military developments that could either sustain or ease pressures on American personnel in Lebanon.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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