Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data through March 2026 show deficits ranging from $54.7 billion to $60.3 billion, reflecting ongoing adjustments to the broad tariff regime implemented in 2025. These figures, combined with the Congressional Budget Office's baseline projecting slower import growth and faster export expansion due to higher customs duties and supply-chain shifts, anchor trader consensus near the $800–900 billion and $900 billion–$1 trillion brackets. The narrow spread between those two outcomes stems from uncertainty over whether domestic demand under the 2025 reconciliation act will lift imports enough to push the annual total above $900 billion or whether continued tariff pressure and dollar depreciation will keep it contained. Additional monthly releases, changes in global demand, or new trade measures through year-end could widen or narrow that gap by altering the import-export trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS Trade Deficit in 2026?
US Trade Deficit in 2026?
$20,985 ปริมาณ
$20,985 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
7%
500–600B
6%
600–700B
5%
700–800B
9%
800–900B
42%
900B–1T
32%
1T–1.1T
9%
1.1T+
5%
$20,985 ปริมาณ
$20,985 ปริมาณ
Feb 28, 2027
<500B
$16,637 ปริมาณ
7%
500–600B
$413 ปริมาณ
6%
600–700B
$435 ปริมาณ
5%
700–800B
$456 ปริมาณ
9%
800–900B
$1,008 ปริมาณ
42%
900B–1T
$971 ปริมาณ
32%
1T–1.1T
$441 ปริมาณ
9%
1.1T+
$624 ปริมาณ
5%
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data through March 2026 show deficits ranging from $54.7 billion to $60.3 billion, reflecting ongoing adjustments to the broad tariff regime implemented in 2025. These figures, combined with the Congressional Budget Office's baseline projecting slower import growth and faster export expansion due to higher customs duties and supply-chain shifts, anchor trader consensus near the $800–900 billion and $900 billion–$1 trillion brackets. The narrow spread between those two outcomes stems from uncertainty over whether domestic demand under the 2025 reconciliation act will lift imports enough to push the annual total above $900 billion or whether continued tariff pressure and dollar depreciation will keep it contained. Additional monthly releases, changes in global demand, or new trade measures through year-end could widen or narrow that gap by altering the import-export trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,985วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data through March 2026 show deficits ranging from $54.7 billion to $60.3 billion, reflecting ongoing adjustments to the broad tariff regime implemented in 2025. These figures, combined with the Congressional Budget Office's baseline projecting slower import growth and faster export expansion due to higher customs duties and supply-chain shifts, anchor trader consensus near the $800–900 billion and $900 billion–$1 trillion brackets. The narrow spread between those two outcomes stems from uncertainty over whether domestic demand under the 2025 reconciliation act will lift imports enough to push the annual total above $900 billion or whether continued tariff pressure and dollar depreciation will keep it contained. Additional monthly releases, changes in global demand, or new trade measures through year-end could widen or narrow that gap by altering the import-export trajectory.
This market will resolve according to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026, as reported by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) and the US Census Bureau (USCB) in the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026, expected to be released in February 2027.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
Upon publication, the specified release will be made available at: https://www.bea.gov/news/current-releases
The relevant figure may be found in the annual summary under “Exports, Imports, and Balance (exhibit 1)”. Changes in the BEA or USCB’s reporting format will not disqualify a relevant published figure from counting.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 from the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau. If this release is not published by April 30, 2027 ET, another credible source on the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 will be chosen.
Note: any revisions to the annual US Goods and Services Deficit for 2026 made after the publication of the “U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services” release for December and Annual 2026 will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$20,985วันสิ้นสุด
Feb 28, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Feb 25, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly U.S. goods and services trade data through March 2026 show deficits ranging from $54.7 billion to $60.3 billion, reflecting ongoing adjustments to the broad tariff regime implemented in 2025. These figures, combined with the Congressional Budget Office's baseline projecting slower import growth and faster export expansion due to higher customs duties and supply-chain shifts, anchor trader consensus near the $800–900 billion and $900 billion–$1 trillion brackets. The narrow spread between those two outcomes stems from uncertainty over whether domestic demand under the 2025 reconciliation act will lift imports enough to push the annual total above $900 billion or whether continued tariff pressure and dollar depreciation will keep it contained. Additional monthly releases, changes in global demand, or new trade measures through year-end could widen or narrow that gap by altering the import-export trajectory.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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