Recent U.S.-China trade developments, including the October 2025 Busan agreement establishing a one-year truce and the May 2026 creation of U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment, support elevated odds for a tariff accord by year-end. These mechanisms enable reciprocal reductions on approximately $30 billion in goods each way, with USTR soliciting public input in June on non-sensitive products and market access. China has committed to agricultural purchases and tariff suspensions through December 31, 2026, while new Section 301 tariffs implemented in July remain capped near 20 percent under prior understandings. Ongoing bilateral talks ahead of a planned September summit between Presidents Trump and Xi continue to address overcapacity, forced labor, and supply chain issues through managed trade channels, aligning with trader expectations for formal progress before the truce expiration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วUS x China tariff agreement by December 31?
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
87% โอกาส
$238,151 ปริมาณ
$238,151 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
87% โอกาส
$238,151 ปริมาณ
$238,151 ปริมาณ
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade developments, including the October 2025 Busan agreement establishing a one-year truce and the May 2026 creation of U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment, support elevated odds for a tariff accord by year-end. These mechanisms enable reciprocal reductions on approximately $30 billion in goods each way, with USTR soliciting public input in June on non-sensitive products and market access. China has committed to agricultural purchases and tariff suspensions through December 31, 2026, while new Section 301 tariffs implemented in July remain capped near 20 percent under prior understandings. Ongoing bilateral talks ahead of a planned September summit between Presidents Trump and Xi continue to address overcapacity, forced labor, and supply chain issues through managed trade channels, aligning with trader expectations for formal progress before the truce expiration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$238,151วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.Recent U.S.-China trade developments, including the October 2025 Busan agreement establishing a one-year truce and the May 2026 creation of U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment, support elevated odds for a tariff accord by year-end. These mechanisms enable reciprocal reductions on approximately $30 billion in goods each way, with USTR soliciting public input in June on non-sensitive products and market access. China has committed to agricultural purchases and tariff suspensions through December 31, 2026, while new Section 301 tariffs implemented in July remain capped near 20 percent under prior understandings. Ongoing bilateral talks ahead of a planned September summit between Presidents Trump and Xi continue to address overcapacity, forced labor, and supply chain issues through managed trade channels, aligning with trader expectations for formal progress before the truce expiration.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if an official agreement over tariffs, defined as a publicly announced mutual agreement, is reached between the United States and China between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
If such an agreement is officially reached before the resolution date, this market will resolve to "Yes", regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
Informal and unilateral announcements that do not constitute a finalized agreement will not count.
The publicly announced lowering of tariffs by both China and the U.S. will qualify as a mutual agreement over trade and/or tariffs if confirmed as part of a mutual agreement by an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, even if a formal agreement isn’t mutually announced.
Agreements that include the United States and China as parties, even if they also involve other countries, will qualify for resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be an official announcement by the United States and the People's Republic of China, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming an agreement has been reached will also qualify.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$238,151วันสิ้นสุด
Jan 1, 2027ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETผู้ตัดสินผล
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S.-China trade developments, including the October 2025 Busan agreement establishing a one-year truce and the May 2026 creation of U.S.-China Boards of Trade and Investment, support elevated odds for a tariff accord by year-end. These mechanisms enable reciprocal reductions on approximately $30 billion in goods each way, with USTR soliciting public input in June on non-sensitive products and market access. China has committed to agricultural purchases and tariff suspensions through December 31, 2026, while new Section 301 tariffs implemented in July remain capped near 20 percent under prior understandings. Ongoing bilateral talks ahead of a planned September summit between Presidents Trump and Xi continue to address overcapacity, forced labor, and supply chain issues through managed trade channels, aligning with trader expectations for formal progress before the truce expiration.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย